Age Records--OUTdoors 2018

Records of ANY kind are hard to predict.
There are the twin variables of Opportunity & Opportunity Taken!
In other words, will an Event even be held?
And will the right athlete compete in that event at their very best?
Those components are sometimes as difficult to find as sunshine & warmth on a mid-Winter's day!

That said, here's my guidelines---
My Age Records go from 17 to 40, with the "bookends" being "0-17" & "40 & over", meaning that Records in those categories can be set by athletes up to & including Age 17, or athletes Age 40, or any Age older than 40!!
Every other Age is determined by Actual Full Birthdates!
Thus, an athlete can break TWO different Age Records in less than 24 hours!
I'm offering names of Athletes--if opportunities are given AND taken!!--who I feel capable of breaking those Records!
In many cases, it's a long shot---a VERY long shot---calling for MUCH improvement by said athlete!
But it's fun to do!
I'll begin at Age 40, and continue in inverse order!
These are for OUTdoor Age Records ONLY!!
Men & Women are combined!

Age 40 & over
Age 39
Sorry, but there are ZERO athletes at these Ages capable of breaking the records!

Age 38
Edna Kiplagat needs just a 2:24:07 Marathon, and a Half of ANY speed, as that slot is vacant now!

Age 37
No athletes to offer!

Age 36
Justin Gatlin could have it easy!
He needs to run the 100 in 10.01, and the 200 in 20.14!
Mary Keitany needs to better the Half time of 64:55, or the Marathon time of 2:19:19!
(The latter could happen in London!!)
Wilson Kipsang has an empty Half slot, and needs just a 2:05:27 Marathon time!!
Jenn Suhr has ALREADY broken the Age 36 Record in the Pole Vault--at 15-9.75!
(See earlier post!)
Will this "semi-retired" Great do it again??

Age 35
No athletes!

Age 34
Vivian Cheruiyot has a bunch of marks to shoot for--the 3000 & 2 Mile (8:31.76 & 9:49.93), or the 5000 & 10000 (14:42.06 & 30:23.07).
Viola Kibiwot is going for the 5K & 10K!
Amy Cragg has Half & Full Marathon times of 67:26 & 2:20:21 to aim for!
Catarine Ibarguen needs to Triple Jump 48-10!
Donald Thomas will seek to High Jump---as of July 1st!--7-6.50!

Age 33
As of July 24th, Aries Merritt needs to run the 110H in 12.99!
Eliud Kipchoge has until November 4th to chase Half & Full Marathon times of 59:59 & 2:04:06!
Molly Huddle needs to TIE the American Marathon Record of 2:19:36!
Anita Wlodarczyk has to wait till August 8th to get this EASY Hammer Throw mark---246-1!!
Robert Harting needs a Discus Throw mark of 232-4!
(Did he retire??)

Age 32
Back to Aries Merritt again!
He has until July 23rd to run the 110H in 12.96!
LaShawn Merritt must wait till June 27th to get the 400 Age Record of 43.68!
Anita Wlodarczyk needs a HT of 261-10---but only through August 7th!
As of May 8th, Galen Rupp can chase the Half Marathon mark of 58:55!
Jenny Simpson has a few marks to shoot for--but only FROM August 23rd!!
The 1500 & Mile (3:56.65 & 4:17.44), the 3000 time of 8:22.62, and the Two Mile, which has no current Record!
Tirunesh Dibaba has through September 30th to race the Marathon in 2:18:30!
Allyson Felix has quick times of 21.94 in the 200, and 47.99 in the 400 to aim at!
Impossible??

Age 31
Renaud Lavillenie is opening his season at the Texas Relays!
Yes, I said the Texas Relays!!!
Can he top 19-9??
Yarisley Silva must wait till June 1st to PV 16-0.50!
Marcin Lewindowski has a 1000 time of 2:16.45 to try for, but only from June 13th onward!
Sally Pearson needs a 100H time of 12.47!
She's scheduled to be at the Commonwealth Games!!
Jenny Simpson has through August 22nd to seek the following times--3:56.91, 4:23.40, 8:35.26, 9:53.35, and 14:32.79!
Brittney Reese needs a Long Jump (in every sense!  LOL) of 23-2!
And the returning SAFP--aka Shelly Ann Fraser-Pryce--needs 100 & 200 times of 10.70 & 21.64!

Age 30
At this PRIME Age, I have but ONE name to offer!!
Angelika Cichocka needs a Mile time 0f 4:19.98!
The Age Records at this Age are either too difficult, or there are NO athletes capable of breaking them!!

Age 29
Will Evan Jager FINALLY break 8:00 in the 3000SC?
He needs to run it in 7:55.28 for this Age Record!!
Asbel Kiprop has from June 30th to run 2:14.30 in the 1000, 3:27.40 in the 1500, and 3:49.34 in the Mile!
Daniel Rudisha will be trying for 800 & 1000 times of 1:42.90 and 2:14.30!
Joe Kovacs needs to wait until June 28th to throw the SP 73-7.25!

Age 28
Speaking of Mr Kovacs, he has until June 27th to reach a massive 75-2 in his main event!!
Christian Taylor has to wait for June 18th to begin trying for the TJ mark of 57-6.25!
Damian Warner is improving in the Decathlon!
He'll need to score 8900 points for this Record!
Sharika Nelvis can chase the 100H time of 12.26--but only from May 10th onward!
Delilah Muhammed needs a 400H time of 52.47!
Helen Obiri has a Quartet of Distance marks to shoot for--8:22.20 & 9:19.56 in the 3000 & 2 Mile, and 14:31.42 and 30:01.09 in the 5K & 10K!
Ekaterina Stefanidi needs to PV 16-1.25!!
Ivana Spanovic has from May 10th to Long Jump 23-4.50!
And Sandra Perkovic needs to wait until June 21st to try for a Discus Throw of 229-0!!

Age 27
And we'll start here with "Perky"!!
Sandra needs a LONG DT of 237-2--but has only until June 20th to reach that new PR!
Katie Nageotte has an equally tough PR to aim for--a PV of 16-7.25--but she must wait until she turns 27 on June 30th!!
Genzebe Dibaba has her usual slough of Age Records to try for!
A 1000 of 2:31.51, the 1500 & Mile in 3:56.7 & 4:16.56, or the longer ones of 8:23.14, 9:14.09 and 14:18.37!
Will Paul Tanui try for a fast 10000 on the Track??
He'll need a time of 26:46.31.
Emma Coburn and Beatrice Chepkoech (the latter only as of July 6th!) have an easy 3000SC mark to compete for--9:11.97!
Guye Adola has through October 19th to run the Half & Full Marathon in 58:42 and 2:04:08!
Christian Taylor must TJ 57-11--but only until June 17th!
Will Claye--IF he'll be competing and not just making "records" of a musical kind!!--must wait till June 13th for the same mark!
Tori Bowie has until August 26th to race the 100 & 200 in 10.76 and 21.71!
Finally, I'm proud to say that Mutaz Barshim and yours truly share the same birthday--June 24th--but just a few years apart!!
So, as of June 24th, he'll have a MUCH better chance to HJ 7-10.50 than will I!!
LOL

Age 26
Mr Barshim has through June 23rd to HJ 7-11.25!
Luvo Manyonga has a LJ mark of 28-8.50 to leap for!!
Beatrice Chepkoech has through July 5th to run a 3000SC in 8:59.84!
Dafne Schippers and Elaine Thompson both have June birthdates, and both have the same 100 & 200 times to shoot for--10.71 & 21.69!!
Schippers must wait until June 15th, while ET has to wait till June 28th!!
Distance runners usually have a few events open to them--and this goes for Almaz Ayana--in spades!!
A 3000 and 2 Mile in 8:21.42 and 9:16.95!
Or a 5000 and 10000 of 14:25.22 and 30:13.37!
Katie Nageotte--that "rising" star of the PV--has until June 29th to PV 16-6.75!
Sandi Morris must wait until July 8th to try for the same mark!
Tom Walsh will try for a SP of 74-0.25!
At the Commonwealth Games??
Thomas Rohler needs a Javelin Throw of 304-2!!
And Kevin Mayer will seek to become only the 3rd 9000 points man in the Decathlon--his target score being 9026!!

Age 25
Ryan Crouser has a real toughie--a SP of 75-8!!
Laura Muir has from May 9th to run a 1000 in 2:30.6, the 1500 & Mile in 3:53.96 & 4:14.30, or the longer Distances in 8:19.78, 9:12.90, and 14:28.39!
Tall orders all!!
Sifan Hassan shares the same 1500 & Mile goals!
Despite my believing Shelby Houlihan might be America's current best, I'm giving her just one event to try for--a 2 Mile in 9:12.90!
Courtney Frerichs--if the opportunity presents itself--also could try for that Two Mile time!!
Her 3000SC target is a bit faster--9:00.12!!
Johannes Vetter is nearing his target in the JT--308-1!
Sandi Morris has through July 7th to PV 16-1.25!
Sam Kendricks and Piotr Lisek are both seeking to PV 6.00--or 19-8.25--but Lisek has only through August 15th to do so!
Daniel Stahl has until August 26th to reach the DT mark of 228-10!
Kendra Harrison must run the 100H in 12.33!!
Boris Berian has that ancient (1974!!) American Record in the 1000 to try for--2:13.9!!
And my World AOY--Mariya Lasitskene--must HJ 6-9.75!!

Age 24
Ajee Wilson has to wait for May 8th to try to run the 800 & 1000 in 1:54.94 and 2:31.93!
SMU--aka Shaunae Miller-Uibo--need wait only till April 15th to start shooting for 200 & 400 times of 21.78 and 48.83!
Keep in mind she tied the WORLD Record in the INdoor 300!!
Omar McLeod needs a 110H time of 12.94!
Chao Tsun Cheng of Taiwan--who holds the Age 23 Record of 299-9 from last year in the JT!!--must PR at 309-10 to get this Age Record!
Joyciline Jepkosgei has the Half Marathon mark of 66:11 to try for in Valencia this weekend!!
Think she'll make it??
Thiago Braz Da Silva has a PV height of 19-10.50 to reach for!
Fedric Dacres--a real up & comer in the DT--must throw the Disc 235-9!
And Ronnie Baker--he of a 6.40 in the INdoor 60!--will try for a 100 time of 9.74!

Age 23
This Prime age offers very few athletes!
Fred Kerley has to wait until May 7th to try for a 400 time of 43.45!
Consesius Kipruto has a fast 3000SC time of 7:55.72 to aim for!
Sara Kolak has a JT target of 229-9---but only from June 22nd!!
And Nafi Thiam must wait until August 18th to try for 6942 points in the Heptathlon!!
Maybe at Talence??

Age 22
IS Christian Coleman the "next Usain Bolt"??
Well, his targets here are Bolt's World Records of 9.58 and 19.19!
I have strong doubts, but in this crazy sport--Who knows??!!
Karsten Warholm has the flat 400 speed to do so--but he'll need to PR by almost a full second to run the Age Record here of 47.30 in the 400H!
Sara Kolak has until June 21st to throw the Javelin 232-3!
Yulimar Rojas must PR in the TJ at 50-1.75 to get this Age Record!
And Ronald Kwemoi has 1500 & 3000 times of 3:28.86 and 7:25.02 to try for!

Age 21
My favorite KK girl--that is, Ms Konstanze Klosterhalfen of Germany!!--has several marks to try for!
3:56.18 in the 1500, 4:15.8 in the Mile, 8:27.78 & 9:38.44 in the 3000 & Deuce, and 14:24.68 in the 5000!
A trio of PV'ing Women have the same target here--15-9.75!
Lexi Jacobus, Tori Hoggard, and Eliza McCartney are the 3!
If you read my last post, you know McCartney Vaulted 16-0.75 recently!
But it was an exhibition--on a tilted runway!!--and does NOT count--DESPITE Track & Field News listing it as "legal" in their latest eTN!!
Even McCartney herself says she won't even count it as a PR, let along a Record of any other sort!!
But now we know she HAS that capability!!
Watch for her at the CG!!
Rai Benjamin--like Karsten Warholm (See above!)--has that raw speed to run a 400H in 47.45--despite his PR being "just" 48.33!!
But he'll have to wait until July 27th to get this one!!
Will Danyil Lysenko be the next 8 footer in the HJ?
Unlikely, but maybe he'll come close!
He has to wait until May 19th!
Bence Halasz has to wait until August 4th to try for this Age Record in the Hammer Throw--267-7!
Konrad Bukowiecki has a SP target of 71-5.50!!
Noah Lyles must wait until July 18th to seek 100 & 200 times of 9.69 and 19.26!!
And what about Ruth Jebet??
I reported an UNCONFIRMED "drug bust" for her in a recent post!
It REMAINS unconfirmed!!
NOTHING has been said about it since--so I'm beginning to wonder if it was a hoax!!
Anyway, IF she remains in the game--she has the 3000SC time of 9:03.70 to try for!!

Age 20
Noah Lyles has through July 17th to race the 100 & 200 in 9.84 and 19.63!
Bence Halasz (See Age 21!) has through August 3rd to get a HT mark of 264-3!
Neeraj Chopra has the JT mark of 287-5 to aim at!
Clarence Munyai--who recently sped a 200 in 19.69!--must improve that by a few ticks of the watch to get the Age Record here of 19.63!
He can also try for the 100 mark of 9.84!
Rai Benjamin has until July 26th to run a 400H in 47.39!
Michael Norman must improve on his INdoor WR time of 44.52 to run 43.96 for this OUTdoor Age Record!!
Vernon Turner must wait until August 21st to HJ 7-9.75!
Another Trio of Female Pole Vaulters has a target height of 15-9.75 to try for!
They are Robelys Peinado, Olivia Gruver, and Wilma Murto!
But Ms Gruver only has until July 28th to do so, and Ms Murto must wait until June 11th to begin her attempts!
Vashti Cunningham has an equally daunting height to seek, but in the High Jump--6-9!!
Is she ready for that--um--big leap upward??
Another Sky Soarer--Chris Nilsen--has the PV mark of 19-5.75 to attempt!
Yomif Kejelcha has through July 31st to try for a Two Mile time of 8:03.54!
(I'm offering up Two Mile times because I'm the Eternal Optimist--I always think that Meet Directors will offer up Two Mile races (for both Men & Women!!) in their meets!
It's mainly HS meets that do so now--and then only at Brooks PR and the NBN!!)
Jordan Geist must wait until July 21st to try for the SP mark of 70-10!!
He's not that far away!!

Age 19
Hang in there!
I know this post is long already, but I decided to do ALL my Age Records in one post this year!!
Mr Geist has through July 20th to throw the SP 69-4.25!
Vernon Turner has through August 20th to HJ 7-9.25!
Wilma Murto has until June 10th to PV 15-9!
Celiphine Chespol has several times to try for--8:28.83 and 9:20.91 in the 3000 & Deuce, and 14:32.78 in the 5000!
In her specialty--the 3000SC--she has "only" the WORLD Record to attempt--8:52.78!!

Age 18
The Pole Vault gets a lot of action here too!
Emmanouil Karalis and Mondo Duplantis are both wanting a Vault of 19-0.25!
Should be interesting to watch!!
Lisa Gunnarsson may be doing her Vaulting in the NCAA now, but her target is still 15-0.25!!
And Sydney McLaughlin has through August 6th to run the 400 in 49.77, and the 400H in 54.40!
Don't completely "Laugh..." off either!!
LOL

Age 0-17
The Age Records were much easier--in several cases--INdoors than they are OUTdoors!
Thus the thin list of possibles here!!
Let's start with Tia Jones, who has her own Age Record of 12.84 to try for in the 100H!!
Jordan Diaz of Cuba must TJ 56-9.25 for this Age Record!
BTW, this one is his--as he got this mark in 2017 at Age 16!!
And what about the Distances??
As noted above, INdoor Records are easier targets!
But then we think of a certain Ms Katelyn Tuohy, who totally destroyed the INdoor HSR (and more importantly in this context--the Age 15 Record!!) in the 5000!
But THAT mark OUTdoors is deep into the 14's!!
She's just NOT there---yet!
But how about the Mile time of 4:35.24---or the Two Mile time of 9:54.22??
She came VERY close to the latter INdoors--ENROUTE to that 5000 time!!

But T&F is an unpredictable sport--and that's why we LOVE it so much!!
New names, unexpected Records & Marks!!

See you soon with my Predictions in the WR, AR, CR, and HSR departments!!