Saturday, November 22, 2014

Collegiate Indoor Class Records

Just in!
The first mark from the new INdoor T&F season came in from a JDL All-Comers meet held today!
And it's a good one!

Ryen Frazier, younger sister of Duke's Wesley, ran the fastest-ever Mile by a North Carolina HS'er, her time being 4:44.20.
This ranks her 12th A-T HS, tied with 2 others.
(Actually, one of those tied marks belongs to Suzy Favor (Hamilton), a hand-timed 4:44.2, which I count as 4:44.20!)
And as with the WR attempt announcements (See earlier post from today!), this beats last year's earliest received marks by almost 3 weeks!!)
Keep them coming, guys and gals!!

Now on to the Collegiate Class Records!
I'll do the Men first, then the Women.
I'll repeat the exact format I used in my earlier post about HS Class Records, first listing all the records (No names or dates!), then some comments, followed by a list of athletes who might challenge some of the marks!
Unlike the HS classifications, I use "Frosh", "Soph", "Junior", and "Senior" instead of numbered grades!

Frosh: 6.54, 20.40, 44.93, 1:16.92, 1:46.13, 2:19.53 (No 1500 mark!), 3:55.02, 7:52.64, 13:41.89, 7.57, 7-6, 26-7.75, 55-8.25, 18-8.75, 65-10.50, 74-10.50, 5674.
Soph: 6.51, 20.10, 44.57, 1:17.35, 1:44.84, (No 1000 record!), (No 1500 mark!), 3:55.33, 7:46.45, 13:08.28, 7.52, 7-7, 27-10.75, 56-7.50, 19-1.50, 71-3.50, 77-6, (No Hept mark!)
Junior: 6.51, 20.32, 45.03, 1:17.90, 1:45.88, (No 1000 mark!), 3:38.60, 3:54.74, 7:42.79, 13:26.01, 7.50, 7-7.75, 27-4, 56-11.50, 19-2.25, 70-6.25, 79-7.50, (No Hept mark!)
Senior: 6.45, 20.26, 45.29, 1:15.79, 1:45.33, 2:18.55, 3:37.25, 3:52.88, 7:38.59, 13:13.74, 7.47, 7-9.25, 28-2.25, 57-5, 19-1, 70-7.25, 78-9.25, 6499.

A couple of comments.
The NCAA mostly runs the 1 Mile INdoors, and doesn't time the 1500 enroute, thus the lack of 1500 marks.
The 2 Mile isn't run by Collegians.

Here's a list--a fairly short one!---of guys who could challenge some of these marks.

Frosh challengers include:
Trentavis Friday (60, 200).
(And that's it for Frosh!)
Soph records could fall to:
Trayvon Bromell (60)
Michael Cherry (400, 600)
Tretaz Kinnaird (600, 800, 1000)
Ed Cheserek (any distance he tries between the 1500 and 5000)
Ben Saarel (1500-5000, or any that Cheserek leaves for him!)
Devon Allen (60H)
Junior Class Records might go to:
Arman (Gino?) Hall (400)
Brandon McBride (800, 1000)
Brannon Kidder (1000, 1 Mile)
Shawn Barber (PV)
Jarrion Lawson (LJ)
And Senior Class records could be challenged by:
Dedric Dukes (200)
Aaron Ernest (200)
Vernon Norwood (400)
Rich Peters (800, 1000)
Eric Jenkins (3000, 5000)
Sam Kendricks (PV)
Ryan Crouser (SP)

On the Women's side, here's their Class Records!

Frosh: 7.12, 22.40, 50.88, (No 600 record!), 2:04.27, 2:43.76, 4:22.78, 4:32.49, 9:11.59, 15:43.04, 7.99, 6-4.25, 21-3.50, 45-7.25, 14-5.25, 59-3, 68-4.75, 4635.
Soph: 7.13, 22.49, 50.82, (No 600 mark!), 2:02.76, 2:46.59, (No 1500 record!), 4:32.72, 9:02.05, 15:27.42, 7.90, 6-5.25, 21-11, 46-4, 15-1, 59-7, 75-7.50, 4194.
Junior: 7.09, 22.49, 50.80, (No 600 mark!), 2:01.65, 2:45.40, 4:12.73, 4:30.03, 8:58.14, 15:28.11, 7.78, 6-6, 22-8, 46-2.50, 14-10.75, 62-10, 83-10.25, 4586.
Senior: 7.09, 22.43, 50.46, 1:27.78, 2:00.75, 2:41.00, 4:09.77, 4:25.91, 8:42.03, 15:14.18, 7.84, 6-5, 22-8, 46-9, 14-11, 63-0.75, 83-1.75, 4342.

Some comments.
Imagine what kind of total destruction a NON-Pro Mary Cain might have done to the Frosh Class record book!!  EVERY mark from 600 through 5000 would have been obliterated!! (Not to mention a few A-T COLLEGIATE records!!)
I may have more information on 600's and 1000's later on, hopefully filling in the blanks and/or making corrections!!
That Frosh Class 1500 mark, compared to the 1 mile, is terrible!  Maybe Elise Cranny can clean that up!!
ALL of the 1000 Class records are pretty bad, when you consider that the "amateur" HSR is BETTER than the Frosh, Soph, and Junior class records on the Collegiate level!!
All of the 200 records are within 0.09 of each other, with a Freshman holding the overall CR!
And all of the sub-Senior class 400 marks are within 0.08 of each other!

The list of Class Record challengers is much longer on the Women's side than the Men's!
Here's the list!

Challenges to Frosh Class records could come from:
Elise Cranny (800, 1000, 1500, 1 Mile, 3000, 5000)
Bethan Knights (3000, 5000)
Sarah Baxter (3000, 5000) IF she runs indoors!
Dior Hall (60H)
Desiree Freier (PV)
Keturah Orji (LJ, TJ)
Raven Saunders (SP)
Soph Class marks could fall to:
Jasmine Todd (60)
Leontia Kallenou (HJ)
Shayla Sanders (60, 200)
Kendell Baisden (200, 400)
Shamier Little (400)
Sabrina Southerland (600, 800, 1000)
Rachele Schulist (3000, 5000)
Erin Finn (3000, 5000) Only if she's recovered from her injury!
Wesley Frazier (1 Mile, 3000, 5000) If she returns to her 2013 form!
Kendell Williams (60H, Pent.)
Annie Rhodes (PV)
Junior Class marks could go to:
Julia Ratcliffe (WT)
Morolake Akinosun (60)
Jenna Prandini (60, 200)
Courtney Okolo (400)
Amy Weissenbach (800, 1000)
Katrina Coogan (1500, 1 Mile, 3000, 5000)
Kate Avery (3000, 5000)
Emily Grove and Megan Clark (PV)
Christina Hillman (SP)
And the Senior Class marks could be challenged by:
Erica Bougard (Pent)
Dezerea Bryant and Kamaria Brown (60, 200)
Jillian Weir (WT)
Aisling Cuffe (3000, 5000) Like with Finn, only if she's back from her fall injury!
Shelby Houlihan (1500, 1 Mile, 3000, 5000)
Dominique Scott (5000)
Emma Bates (5000)
Kendra Harrison (60H)
Kaitlin Petrillose & Sandi Morris (PV)
Ciarra Brewer (TJ)
Kearsten Peoples (SP)

And that does it!

Be back after Thanksgiving with more on INdoor T&F!!
(And who knows what else!!)

Congratulations (again!) to Ryen Frazier for kick-starting the new INdoor season with a BANG, not a whimper!!

NCAA XC, Class Records, 3 WR Attempts

Got lots to write about, so let's get on it!

Kate Avery and Ed Cheserek dominated the Individual races at the NCAA XC Championships today.
(Michigan State won the Women's race, while Colorado won the Men's.)

Avery led almost from the start, expanded her lead to over 10 seconds, and won by 8 in the time of 19:32.
A surprise 2nd was Wisconsin's Sarah DiSanza, in 19:40.
Emma Bates finished 3rd.
Top Freshmen girls were Elise Cranny (12th), a surprising Alice Wright in 17th, then Bethan Knights in 25th.

The Men's race was entirely different.
A HUGE "lead pack" of maybe 100 (!!) jogged the first 5K in 15:31.
At 8K, King Ches decided to run, and while he continually looked back to see where teammate Eric Jenkins was (and cheer him on!!), Cheserek won decisively in 30:20 (14:49 last 5K).
Jenkins did finish 2nd for a 1-2 Ducks finish, but Colorado easily won the team title!
Oregon was back in 5th or 6th!

Before I get to the Class Records section of this post, I need to report some VERY early announcements of Indoor World Record attempts, set to happen at 3 different meets by 2 different athletes.
Last year, the first announcements of record attempts weren't made until around December 10th!

At the Armory Track Invitational (NYC) on January 31st, Galen Rupp will try to break the World Record in the Two Mile run!
Also at that meet, Mary Cain will go after Meseret Defar's "World Junior Record" of 9:34.03 in a Two Mile also!
(To my mind, "WJR's" don't exist!  Thus, I see her going after Defar's Age 18 record (that 9:34.03!).  And I'm REALLY hoping she goes after the American Record as well, Regina Jacob's 9:23.38!)
Jordan Hasay will join Cain in the Two Mile, while Matthew Centrowitz will run a leg on an International  DMR team!

Genzebe Dibaba said she wants TWO World Records this season (as opposed to her THREE last year!!).
She'll go after Defar's 14:24.37 5000 at the Stockholm meet.
Then she'll run the One Mile in Birmingham, that record being Doinia Melinte's 4:17.14.
(Her 3:55.17 last year is worth about 4:11 or 4:12 for the Mile!)

Also announced for the Armory meet are Chaunte Lowe and Will Claye.

The Hilton Garden Invitational (Winston-Salem NC), also on January 31st, a Men's and Women's "Camel City Mile" race will be held.
The Men's race features Will Leer, Leo Manzano, and Cory Leslie.
The Women's race will have Shannon Rowbury, Morgan Uceny, Heather Kampf, Sara Vaughn, and Stephanie Garcia.
There will also be featured 800 and 3000 meter races.
Phoebe Wright and Richard Jones have been announced for the 800's so far!

Now for my report on which Class Records might be broken (or challenged) this Indoor season!
Following are the Class Records for High Schoolers.
I'll just list the records (in the usual order of events), but no names or dates.
I'll do the Boys first, then the Girls

9th Grade:  6.78, 21.95, 48.76, 1:20.97, 1:55.45, 2:33.38, 4:02.21. 4:15.13, 8:23.80, 8:57.44, 14:18.42, 8.03, 6-8, 24-5, 46-8.50, 15-6.25, 66-7.25, 64-7.50.
10th Grade: 6.67, 21.56, 46.84, 1:19.05, 1:51.11, 2:27.59, 3:52.5, 4:09.82, 8:09.86, 8:42.66, 14:54.27, 7.83, 7-2, 25-8.25, 50-2.50, 16-9, 70-5, 75.0.50.
11th Grade: 6.64, 21.02, 46.88, 1:17.64, 1:49.94, 2:23.56, 3:47.60, 4:02.21, 8:07.54, 8:40.70, 13:57.04, 7.62, 7-5.25, 25-9.25, 51-8.25, 17-6.25, 71-5, 87-10.25.
12th Grade: 6.57, 20.69, 45.92, 1:17.58, 1:49.21, 2:22.28, 3:43.27, 3:59.86, 8:05.46, 8:39.15, 14:19.83, 7.57, 7-5, 26-6.50, 52-7.50, 17-10.25, 77-2.50, (63-11 for 16 lb. SP), 93-3.25 (65-8.25 for Intl. WT).

A few comments.
The 9th Grade 1500 is VERY weak, due to the Mile mark not being timed at the 1500 enroute.
That 4:15.13 is worth a 1500 in about 3:58.
That 5000 9th Grade record (by Lukas Verzbickas) is one of the best 9th Grade records.
The 6-8 HJ is probably the weakest, and thus most easily beaten!
Also weak are the TJ and PV in that class.
Note how slow the 10th Grade 5000 is!  Should easily be broken!
Those 11th and 12th Grade WT records could last MANY years!!

Some athletes who could challenge some of those records!

Quincy Hall ran the 400 in 46.71 OUTdoors this year as an 8th Grader, and could get the 9th Grade mark of 48.76.
Lane (Don't have 1st name!) could get the Soph WT mark of 75-0.50.
Eleventh Graders who could challenge records are:
Bobby Colontonio (WT)
Grant Holloway (60H)
Noah Lyles (200)
Ward (Don't have 1st name!) (TJ)
Josephus Lyles (I think he's Noah's twin brother--same school, same class!) (400)
Austin Tamagno (1500, 1 Mile, 3000, 2 Mile, 5000)
Andrew Hunter (3000, 2 Mile, 5000)
And here's the 12th Grade records challengers:
Brandon Bray (PV)
Adam Kelly (WT)---Good luck!!
Elijah Armstrong (3000-5000) (He's the one who has that slowish Soph Class 5000 mark!!)
Richard Rose (600-800)
Darryl Harraway (60, 200)
Grant Fisher (1500-2 Mile)
Matthew Maton (1500, 1 Mile)
Alex Ostberg (3000-5000)
Conner Mantz (3000-5000)
Kendell Sheffield (60H)
Brandon Rivera (HJ)

Now for the Girls Class records!

9th Grade:  7.47, 23.55, 53.23, 1:30.1, 2:06.48, 2:50.84, 4:24.4, 4:40.1, 9:42.20, 17:08.45 (a 7th Grader, Brianna Jackucewitz, ran the 5000 in 16:43.02 back in 2004!), 8.44, 5-10, 19-7, 40-2.50, 12-8, 45-7.25, 57-3, 3561 (Pent.)
10th Grade: 7.29, 23.43, 53.45 (for 440 yards!  there's no better equivalent 400 time!), 1:29.65, 2:01.8, 2:47.29, 4:24.25, 4:46.13, 9:29.0, 16:37.50, 8.19, 6-0.75, 20-5.75, 42-0.50, 13-6, 48-11, 58-11, 3846.
11th Grade: 7.24, 23.26, 52.19, 1:29.90, 2:04.96, 2:47.21, 4:11.72, 4:28.25, 9:04.51, 9:38.68, 16:19.69, 8.17, 6-1, 21-4, 42-5.50, 14-0, 52-5.75, 65-4.25, 3827
12th Grade: 7.19, 22.97, 51.93, 1:29.27, 2:03.59, 2:43.40, 4:18.9, 4:39.0, 9:17.4, 9:55.92, 16:11.85, 8.11, 6-3, 21-7.50, 44-6.75, 14-6, 56-7.50, 68-2.50, 4068.

A few comments.
The 9th Grade 1 Mile mark will be 42 years old in 2015!
Sophie Cantine ran the 1000 as a 9th Grader last year in 2:47.64, but it was on Seattle's OT, so doesn't count!
That 2:01.8 10th Grade 800 mark will be 41 years old in 2015.
The new PRO HS category has 3 members, Alana Hadley, Alexa Efraimson, and Mary Cain.
Cain's graduated, so Efraimson will be going after the following PRO HS (and 12th Grade PRO HS) records, all held by Cain:
1000 of 2:35.80
1500 of 4:06.63
1 Mile of 4:24.11
Desiree Freier's 14-6 12th Grade PV record was set during an OUTdoor meet, but the PV was moved INdoors, so counts as the INdoor record!

Here's some athletes who could challenge some of these marks!

New 9th Grade marks could fall to:
Daloria Boone (LJ)
Gabrielle Wilkinson (800, 1000, 1500, 1 Mile)
Bryn Morley (1000, 1500, 1 Mile)
Rylee Bowen (3000, 2 Mile, 5000)
Soph Class (10th Grade) records could be challenged by:
Jessica Lawson (5000)
Carson Dingler (PV)
Tyra Gittens (Pent.)
Candace Hill (60, 200)
Kaelin Roberts (200, 400)
Sophie Cantine (800, 1000, 1500, 1 Mile) But only if run on a 200 meter track!!
Jayla Kirkland (60, 200)
Symone Mason (200)
Sydney McLaughlin (60H, 400)
11th Grade marks could be broken by:
Courtney Corrin (LJ)
Stephanie Jenks (5000)
Kaylin Whitney (60, 200)
Hannah DeBalsi (3000, 2 Mile, 5000)
Alexis Duncan (60H)
Vashti Cunningham (HJ)
And Senior Class (12th Grade) records could be challenged by:
Kaitlyn Merritt (PV)
Haley Showalter, Sabrina Gaitan, and Gabby Figuroa (all WT)
Lexi Weeks (PV)

Sorry, but this post is too long already, so I'll cover the Collegiate Class Records in another post!
Should be ready in an hour or so!






Sunday, November 16, 2014

2015 INDOOR T&F Preview: AGE Records (Part 2)

Back again!
Now for the Age 29's down to the youngest (0 to 17)!

Age 29
David Torrence, Will Leer, and Ben True have a chance for some records.
They might go after the 1500 mark of 3:33.32 or the 1 Mile mark of 3:54.49.
The 3000 record of 7:28.29 would require an American Record!
The 5000 mark of 13:15.64 might be best for True to chase.
Sally Kipyego could get the 3000 record of 8:31.73, the 2 Mile mark of 9:45.99, or the 5000 record of 14:48.21.
Morgan Uceny doesn't turn 30 until March 10th, so she might chase the Age 29 One Mile mark of 4:24.98.
She seems to be on a swift comeback path!
Michelle Carter and Christina Schwanitz would have to get BIG PR's to nab Valerie Adams's 2014 record of 67-9.50!

Age 28
Galen Rupp is eligible for the Age 28 One Mile mark, owned by Eamonn Coghlan, his 3:50.6 run back in 1981.
Rupp could also get the 3000 (7:32.78), 2 Mile (8:06.61), or the 5000 (13:02.95).
Jenny Simpson would need to run the 1500 in 3:59.40 for the record.
The 1 Mile mark is easier, just 4:25.62.
Other possible targets for Jenny are the 2000 (5:40.9), 3000 (8:27.86), 2 Mile (9:19.39), and even the 5000 mark of 14:55.99!
Gabe Grunewald might have a shot at the 1 Mile record too, as might Sarah Brown and Heather Kampf!
Kampf turns 28 on January 19th!
Shelly Anne Fraser-Pryce would need a 60 of 6.96 or a 200 time of 22.33 to get those records.
Alysia Montano could get the 600 mark of 1:26.28!
She ran that distance in an AR 1:23.59 in 2013
Sally Pearson would need a time of 7.63 to just tie Lyudmila Engqvist's record from 1993.
Ivan Ukhov needs a HJ of 7:10.75 to get the record.
Renaud Lavillenie will be chasing Sergey Bubka again, this time his 19-8.25 from 1992!
Ryan Whiting's target is Reese Hoffa's 72-6.50 from 2006.
Britney Riley holds 3 Age records in the WT (20, 21, and 25).
Amber Campbell holds the Age 28 mark with her 81-0.50 from 2010.

Age 27
Ashton Eaton turns 27 on January 21st.
If he does a Heptathlon at USATF, his target will be 6425 points!
Brenda Martinez would need to break the AR to get the Age 27 1000 mark of 2:33.93.
The 1500 and 1 Mile records are 4:03.51 and 4:24.53.
James Dasaolu might get the 60 mark of 6.44.
Muriele Ahoure would need to top SAFP's 6.98 from 2014!
Yarisley Silva would need to top Jenn Suhr's 15-10 from 2009.


Age 26
Kristi Castlin, Nia Ali, and Queen Harrison would be after Susannah Kallur's 7.68 from 2008.
Fran McCorory would need a 49.97 400 to get the record!
And Eunice Sum would need a great 1:57.05 to top legendary Maria Mutola, who ran 1:57.06 in 1999.

Age 25
Gwen Berry would need a WT of 82-5 to just tie Britney Riley's age 25 mark from 2012.
Joe Kovacs would need to PR at 73-0.50 just to tie Werner Gunthor's 1987 record!
Teddy Tamgho would need a 57-10 TJ to get the record.
Bogdan Bondarenko would need to top Javier Sotomayor's 7-10.75 from 1993.
Ditto for Derek Drouin, but he doesn't turn 25 until March 6th!
Matt Centrowitz would have relatively easy targets in the 1500 and 1 Mile (3:33.77 and 3:53.54).
Dejen Gebremeskel would have VERY tough records to chase in the 3000 (7:26.80), 2 Mile (Ken Bekele's WR of 8:04.35!!), or the 5000 (12:50.38)!!
I lost my Age 25 record for the Women's 1500, but I believe it was very close to 4:01.
Thus, if Helen Obiri runs that fast, I'll give it to her....until I can do some research on that again!
She could also challenge Paula Ivan's 4:18.99 One Mile mark from 1989, Meseret Defar's 3000 mark of 8:26.99 and Defar's 2 Mile time of 9:06.26, both from 2009.
Defar's 14:24.37 5000, also from 2009, might be out of reach!

Age 24
What will Genzebe Dibaba do in 2015?
If she runs INdoors, every Age 24 record from the 1500 to the 5000 will be hers for the taking!
(She turns 24 on February 8th!)
They'd be so easy for her, I won't even list the marks!!
However, if Dibaba doesn't run, or isn't in 2014 shape, Emma Coburn or Abeba Aregawi could get the 1500 or 1 Mile marks of 4:04.42 and 4:23.53!
Yenew Alamirew might target the 3000 record of 7:26.14, the 2 Mile mark of 8:16.89, or the 5000 mark of 13:11.44.
If that latter mark sounds familiar, it's Galen Rupp's former AR from 2011.
Chanelle Price could get the 600 (1:26.0), the 800 (1:58.26), or the 1000 (2:34.30) marks!
Tori Bowie would need great times of 6.92 in the 60, or 22.15 in the 200 just to TIE the records!
Christian Taylor would need to LJ 28-3 or TJ 58-6.25 to nab those records.
Darya Klishina would need a LJ of 22-11 for the record.
She turns 24 on January 15th.)
Erik Kynard turns 24 on February 3rd!
The Age 24 HJ mark is Hollis Conway's 7-10.50 from 1991.
Carolina Kluft holds the Age 24 Heptathlon record, with her 4944 from 2007.
Nadine Broersen would need to top that!

Age 23
Pascal Martinot-Lagarde would need to top Dayron Robles's mark of 7.34 in the 60H!!
Jimmy Vicaut would need a massive PR of 6.38 to tolp Maurice Greene's 6.39 from 1998.
But Vicaut doesn't turn 23 until February 27th!
Mutaz Barshim needs a 7-10.25 to get the Age 23 HJ record.
Brianna Rollins needs a 60H mark of 7.74 for that record!
Laura Roesler's 400 speed could help her get the 600 record of 1:25.46!
The 800 mark of 1:56.40 is almost certainly out of her (current!!) abilities!!
Lawi Lalang would need a One Mile of 3:51.34 to tie the record.
The 5000 would be tougher, but doable.
That record is 12:59.04.

Age 22
Dafne Schippers might compete Indoors, as the European Championships INdoor version is next year!
The records for the 60 and 200 are 6.95 and 22.27.
Jenna Prandini isn't in Schippers class just yet, but that 200 mark isn't TOO far from Prandini's range!
Same goes for Kamaria Brown.
Deon Lendore and Kirani James could challenge Thomas Schonlebe's 45.05, dating from 1988!!
Pierre Ambroise-Bosse could target both the 600 (1:15.80) and the 800 (1:44.57) marks.
Caleb Ndiku has the talent to take down the 3000 mark of 7:30.72, the 2 Mile time of 8:15.49, or the 5000 mark of 13:12.00.
Finally (in the Age 22 bracket), there's new Pro Abbey D'Agostino!
If she's ready to RUN like a Pro, she could get the 1 Mile mark of 4:23.33 or  the 2 Mile time of 9:31.7.

Age 21
Angelica Bengtsson has been a "junior" star for several years, but she hasn't really broken out just yet.
Will she, in 2015??
She has a HUGE figurehead to go after, the inimitable Yelena Isinbayeva!!
Luckily for Angelica, Isi PV'ed "just" 15-11.25 when she was 21.
Adam Gemili is another youth prodigy.
His targets would be 6.45 in the 60 and 20.26 in the 200.
Faith Kipyegon's goals will be the 1500 record of 4:00.13 (Held by Ms Genzebe Dibaba, from 2012!), or the much easier 1 Mile record of 4:25.73.
Mohammed Aman's targets would be the 600 (1:15.79), the 800 (1:44.34), and the 1000 (2:15.92).
Aman turns 21 on January 10th, as does Kipyegon!  (Yes, their birthdays are exactly the same!)

Age 20
Ajee Wilson and Jessica Judd might go after the same records.
The 600 mark is 1:26.35, the 800 is a toughie at 1:57.55, but the 1000 is an easy 2:37.89.
Judd turns 20 on January 5th!
If Shaunae Miller runs INdoors, the 200 and 400 records are 22.57 and 50.80!
Hagos Gebrhiwet's targets could be the 1500 and 1 Mile (3:33.08 & 3:55.09), the 3000 and 2 Mile (7:31.66 and 8:11.85), or even the 5000 (13:08.28, set by Lawi Lalang in 2012).

Age 19
Keturah Orji doesn't turn 19 until March 5th, but that mark is about 17 inches further than her PR!!
Trayvon Bromell might go after the 60 mark of 6.50!
Kendell Williams and Dior Hall might feel they're capable of getting the Age 19 mark of 7.88 in the 60H.
Both would need MAJOR improvement to do so, but that's not unheard of at their age!
Williams could also target the Heptahlon record of 4681.
It's just 46 points beyond her 2014 mark!

Age 18
Will Mary Cain return at FULL power, after her relatively poor 2014 OUTdoor season?
She seems to be an INdoor powerhouse, so if she DOES "come back", her record range goes all the way from 800 (2:01.82) to the 1000 (2:43.40, the "amateur" HSR!!), the 1500 (4:03.28), 1 Mile (4:24.10), 2000 (no current record in my book, so whatever she ran would become the record), but the 3000 would be VERY tough, as it's 8:33.56, while the 2 Mile is just 9:34.03.
The 5000 is (currently) beyond her abilities, as it's the 14:53.19 of Tirunesh Dibaba from 2004!!
Raevyn Rogers could challenge Cain for the 800 mark, and maybe even the 1000.
Alexa Efraimson will be running her first TRACK race as a Pro in 2015.
She could also challenge Cain for the 1 Mile record!
She could also get the 2 Mile mark, if Cain doesn't get it.
Elise Cranny will also be 18 during the INdoor season, but she's running Collegiately, so might not get into "open" races!
Raven Saunders may have been matchless as an American High Schooler, but as for the Age 18 SP mark, forget it!!
It's over TEN FEET beyond her current best!
Desiree Freier has a 15-1.25 PV as her necessary mark for an Age 18 record!

Age 17 (and under)
Sydney McLaughlin ran phenomenal times OUTdoors in 2014 as a FOURTEEN year old HS freshman!!
But is she ready to tackle Francena McCorory's Age record of 51.93, which is also the HSR??
The 60H mark might be easier, as it's 8.17.
I don't think she's anywhere near ready for Age records or even HSR's, but last winter, Sophie Cantine ran a 1000 in 2:47.64 on Seattle's Oversize Track as a HS Frosh!
If that had been on a 200 meter track, she would have broken the Frosh Class record, and come within 0.35 of Mary Cain's Soph Class record!!
However, Cain's 2:35.80 from 2014 stands as the untouchable Age 17 mark!
Finally, there's my LISTED Age 17 5000 record of 16:11.85.
I'm almost certain some African has run better at that age, even INdoors, but I haven't found any!
So until I do, both Hannah DeBalsi and Stephanie Jenks have a decent shot at that mark, probably at the NBIN.
Cain's 9:38.68 Two Mile is probably JUST outside their current abilities, although both of them could surprise us!

And that is it, folks!!

Next post will come just after the NCAA XC Championships next Saturday!
It will cover potential CLASS Records, from the 9th grade of HS to the Senior class of Collegians!
And I'm certain it will necessitate just ONE post, not two!!

That will be followed by a double-post entry again, covering who I believe can make it into my DDD Top 24 Performers lists in 2015 (INdoor only, of course!!).
I'll do one each for Men and Women.

And after that, probably in early December, we should have some NEWS to report, either early marks or announcements of who's competing where!!

See you later this week!








2015 INDOOR T&F Preview: AGE Records (Part 1)

My previous post's title--Battle of the Ages--might have been a better title for THIS post, which will look at which Age Records might be challenged in the 2015 INdoor T&F season.
But before I get to that, a bit of news and views from other fronts.

The NCAA Regional races were held a couple of days ago.
All the Big Names made it through.
Shelby Houlihan, Emma Bates, Crystal Nelson, Elise Cranny, Bethan Knights, Leah O'Connor, and a few others on the women's side.
There was a BIG upset in the Men's West Regional, as Maxim Korelev beat heavily favored Ed Cheserek!
The NCAA Championship is in less than 1 week!

The USATF 12K Road Race was held this morning.
Molly Huddle won again, but no record.
Her 38:07 beat Emily Sisson's 38:20 easily.  Kim Conley was 3rd in 38:41.
The Men's race had a surprise winner in Brian Schrader, who set a Course Record with his 34:10.
He just beat Diego Estrada's 34:11 and last year's winner Aaron Braun's 34:13
I said earlier that Molly Huddle didn't get a new record.
But Jen Rhines did!
Her 40:30 broke the US record for the distance for 40-and-overs!
Previous best was by Colleen DeReuck in the 2004 Bloomsday 12K, her time having been 40:48.

Two women have turned up pregnant, and will miss the entire 2015 season, Indoors and Out!
Tatyana Lysenko and Tirunesh Dibaba are the 2 mothers-to-be!

Now on to the Age Records for the 2015 INdoor season.
I will present my selections in inverse Age order, from oldest (40 and over) to the youngest (0 to 17).
The only Age I don't have any picks for is Age 39.
I'll group the athletes by Age, not by gender or event.
Note that there is no guarantee these athletes will compete INdoors, nor which events they might choose.
But these people have at least SOME chance to get a particular Age Record.
(Check back at season's end to see how many did it!)
So, here we go!

Age 40
Bernard Lagat has a chance to get SEVEN Age records, if he runs all the distances, and/or is timed enroute!
The records are 2:26.71 (1000), 3:44.12 (1500), 3:58.15 (1 Mile), 8:09.13 (3000), plus the 2000, 2 Mile, and 5000 records, for which I have no records for 40+.
Jo Pavey and Helen Clitheroe have shots at the 3000 (9:02.83), the 2 Mile (Clitheroe has that one, her 9:50.65 from the 2014 season!), and the currently empty slot for the 5000.

Age 39
None.

Age 38
Kim Collins can get Linford Christie's 1999 mark of 6.57 in the 60.
If he ran the 200, he'd have that one, as there's currently no record.

Age 37
Reese Hoffa has a clear field, as I have no Age 37 SP mark!
(Adam Nelson has the Age 36 mark of 69-10.50, while the Age 38 mark is just 64-10.25, so anything Hoffa throws will be a good record!)

Age 36
Chris Brown holds 4 INdoor 400 Age records (31, 33, 34, and 35).
If he runs just 1 race, he'll fill the empty Age 36 slot!
AG Kruger now holds SIX Age records for the WT (28, 29, 31, 32, 34 & 35).
Age 36 might be tough, as Lance Deal threw 79-5.25 in 1998!
Can Angelo Taylor challenge Chris Brown for the 400 record?

Age 35
How old is Darvis Patton?
My FAST Annual has his birthdate as December 4, 1979.
My Athletics Annual has it as December 4, 1977!
Carmelita Jeter would need a 7.02 to just tie Merlene Ottey's 7.02 from 1996.
The 200 slot is empty for Age 35, so if she runs it, she has the record!
Ruth Beitia got the Age 34 HJ record in 2014. with her 6-6.25.
It would take only a 6-5 to nab the Age 35 mark!

Age 34
The Age 34 PV slot is open for Svetlana Feofanova to take it.
Ryan Wilson would have to run 7.47 to beat Colin Jackson's 7.48 60H record from 2002.
Dylan Armstrong will have to throw the SP 71-4.50 to beat Reese Hoffa's 2012 mark of 71-4.25.
It was just announced that Susanna Kallur is coming back at a February meet in Europe!
Don't have the meet's date, but she turns 34 on February 16.
Her target  60H mark is a 7.88.

Age 33
 Jenn Suhr (She turns 33 on February 5!), Anna Rogowska, and Fabiana Murer will try to top Stacy Dragila's 14-11 from 2005.
(Murer doesn't turn 34 until March 16th!)
Amber Campbell holds EIGHT Weight Throw Age records (23, then 26-32!).
The Age 33 slot is empty.
Make it NINE, Amber!!
Maggie Vessey's best chance for an Age Record would be in the 1000, but she'd need to run an AR 2:32.95 to get it!!
The 800 mark is in the 1:57's.
Treniere Moser's best shot would be the 5000 mark of 15:25.02.
Or to challenge Vessey for that 1K record!

Age 32
Veronica Campbell-Brown would need a 6.97 60 to beat Gail Devers's record from 1999.
Lolo Jones would need a 7.87 60H for the record.
Ditto for Kellie Wells!
Anna Chicherova needs to HJ 6-8.25 to tie the Age 32 mark.

Age 31
Meseret Defar's targets are relatively easy.
8:37.91 (3000), 9:38.06 (2 Mile), and 14:54.73 (5000).
Blanka Vlasic and Chaunte Lowe need just HJ 6-5 for the record!
Olga Saladuha needs to TJ 49-3 to just tie the record.
Caterine Ibarguen turns 31 on February 12th!
Nick Symmonds would have to break Johnny Gray's AR of 1:45.00 to get the 800 mark
The 1000's a bit easier, as it's Nate Brannen's 2:16.87 from 2014.
Nick Willis would be chasing relatively easy marks in the 1500 (3:36.76) and 1 Mile (3:55.87).
Add Mo Farah (!!) to the mix, as he's announced he'll run in the London meet!
Not sure which event, but all of the marks from 1500 to the 5000 are easy targets.
Besides the 2 listed above, add the 3000 (7:33.73), 2 Mile (8:17.06), or the 5000 (13:11.13).

Age 30
Shannon Rowbury seems ready to tackle the Age 30 marks in the 1500 (4:03.09), 1 Mile (4:23.00), 2000 (5:40.95), 3000 (8:33.05), 2 Mile (9:52.06 ?!), or the 5000, which is REALLY tough, as it would require a massive AR of 14:39.28!!
Molly Huddle could challenge Rowbury in the 3K-5K range.
Val Adams would need to SP 67-11 to tie the record.
Dawn Harper Nelson would need to run 7.77 in the 60H for the record.
Aleksey Dmitrik needs a HJ of 7-11.25 to just tie Carlos Thranhardt's 1988 record!

I'm going to continue this preview in a new post, as the introductory material made this longer than I wanted!
Be ready in the next hour or so!



Sunday, November 2, 2014

Battles of the Ages

Today's New York City Marathon proved one thing.
You can't discount experience.
Nor can you set limits on what age is the oldest where you're still competitive.

They didn't win, nor did they run as fast as they'd hoped.
(Nobody did, with winds of 25 MPH testing the troops!)
But 41 year old Deena Kastor, 39 year old Meb Keflezighi, and 36 year old Kara Goucher all ran tough gritty races in the horrific conditions.

The winning times of Wilson Kipsang and Mary Keitany were slow, relatively speaking.
Pre-race talk (before the weather reports came out!) were all about breaking the Course Records.
But that was blown out the door (pardon!!  LOL) race morning!
In fact, winds were so strong that the Wheelchair racers, including multiple champion Tatyana McFadden, were forced to start their race on the Brooklyn end of the Verrazano-Narrows Bridge, thus cutting their race distance down to 23.2 miles!!

Nonetheless, I have some incredible Marathon news to report of a much happier nature!!
And this news gave me my title for this post!

For in the Indianapolis Monumental Marathon, run the day before NYC, the other end of the age spectrum produced an incredible record-breaking performance.

Alana Hadley, a 17 year old 11th grade HS student, ran the race in 2:38:37.
And she WON it!!
And the Course Record she broke was held by Olympian Colleen De Reuck, who'd set it (2:39:22) at Age 49 at last year's edition of the race!
(With Alana setting her old PR of 2:41:55 in 2nd!!)

Hadley's time is NOT a HSR.
That's held by Cathy Schiro O'Brien, with her 2:34:24 from 1984.

But there's another reason it's not a HSR.
Hadley turned Professional last year!
And Pro's aren't eligible for HS records or lists!
(See my post of September 21st for my explanation!)

Another High School Pro had a good day on Saturday!
Alexa Efraimson ran a 5000 meter Cross Country race in Portland, and beat back some Oregon Track Club Pro's, her winning margin being 23 seconds!!
(Note: The distance was longer than 5000, due to a wrong turn----that everyone took!---so her time means nothing!  The added distance might be as long as 500 meters!  Details in a future post, if they become available!)

And this gives me a chance to comment on this recent change.

Eleven years ago, Allyson Felix decided to turn Pro immediately upon graduating from HS.
She would never run Collegiately!

Then, Ajee Wilson did the same early in 2012.
In the early fall of 2013, Mary Cain followed suit, except that she didn't wait for graduation!
Mary went Pro just as she was beginning her Senior year of HS!!

Also in 2013, Alana Hadley went Pro!
In her case, she'd already decided against competing for her HS, as her focus was on much longer distances than HS'ers run!
(Although, as a Frosh in 2012, Alana ran a track 10000 in 34:59.38, which still ranks her 9th A-T HS, and remains the Frosh Class record!!)

Finally, Alexa Efraimson essentially followed Cain's path to the Professional ranks!
She signed her contract before her Senior year at Camas WA HS began!

Is this the end?
Or the first hints of a trend?

Notice that all of the HS'ers who went Pro, either before they entered college, or while still in HS, are women!
That opens the question of who from the past might have gone Pro in similar fashion to the above group.
Gerry Lindgren and Jim Ryun from the 60's?
Steve Prefontaine?
Michael Carter?
Mary Decker?
Suzy Favor?
Lynn Jennings?
One of the Crousers?

And who might yet make that choice among those still doing their teenage trekking through the muck and mire of HS Hell??
(Sorry for getting carried away!  Blame my 49 years of being a writer!  LOL)

I'll make a few guesses.
Based on how they do in the upcoming T&F season (both Indoors and Outdoors), I could see such athletes as....
Hannah DeBalsi
Stephanie Jenks (based on her Track exploits, as well as her Triathlon accomplishments & goals)
Kaylin Whitney
all going Pro!

In fact, I'm a bit surprised that Sarah Baxter, Desiree Freier, Trentavis Friday, Trayvon Bromell,  Elise Cranny, or Ed Cheserek haven't gone Pro yet!

The victories of Hadley and Efraimson yesterday perhaps might influence other talented HS'ers to make that choice.
Of course, the story of Mary Cain, with all her HSR's and famous (INfamous??) coach and charming personality, has set an example of how to do this successfully.
But future HS'ers should keep in mind that there's only one Mary Cain, no matter how many follow her, or how successful they are!

I'm happy I made the decision to open up a new category of records for High Schoolers, that being the HS Pro.
It will be interesting to see if Ms Efraimson can break any of Cain's HS Pro records from her 2014 season!
And I hope Alana runs a 5000 and a 10000 (and whatever other distances she chooses!) on the track before she graduates, thus setting HSR's in the HS Pro division at those distances.
(Efraimson might take a shot at the 5000 in 2015!)

Speaking of HS wunderkinds (as well as recent former HS greats), there's a few tales of woe to report.

Wesley Frazier finished her HS career by tripling at 2013's NBN in 4:39, 10:12, and 15:55.
Everyone was predicting she'd be an instant star at Duke.
But injury and illness have intervened.
She's come nowhere near her HS accomplishments, and she's now a Duke soph!

Sarah Baxter might have lost that fabulous NXN race last year (to Efraimson and Cranny), but she was still considered a major prospect for stardom in the uniform of the Oregon Ducks.
She hasn't even run one race yet this fall!!
(Injury?)

Erin Finn isn't exactly a tale of woe!
After a fantastic HS career ended in 2013, she went on to run the 5000 in 15:26.08 Outdoors this past season, and won a double at the Big 10 meet, and performed well at the NCAA's.
This fall, she began as not only the star of her Michigan team, but a strong contender for the NCAA's.
This morning, however, I found out through Twitter that she's injured, and will miss the NCAA Championship, just 20 days away!

Another injured former HS great is Aisling Cuffe, out for the season at Stanford.

One thing's for sure!
The battle of the ages continues, with all of the examples noted above, "old" and young!

My T&F Record Book MIGHT be greatly affected by a MAJOR drug bust reported a couple of days ago!
Rita Jeptoo, the 33 year old Kenyan Marathon great, was busted for the use of a performance enhancing drug!
She hasn't been banned yet, but indications are that she will be.
The World Marathon Majors Awards gala, set for today, was postponed, pending the outcome of Jeptoo's case!
(She'd been expected to win the $500,000 prize!!)

She's currently 4th on the World A-T list with her 2:18:57 from this year's Boston race.
(Remember, I consider Boston times as eligible for records and lists!)
She's also the Age 33 record holder for that same time!

She could lose both!!

I'll end with a bit of good news from the Marathon front.

Mark Kiptoo ran the Marathon in 2:06:49 recently.
This is the Age 38 record!
It broke the venerable Carlos Lopes's mark of 2:07:12 from 1985!

Except for my World and US Athletes of the Year posts, coming December 31st, this is my final OUTdoor  blog from 2014!

Beginning next week (No date set!), I'll open up the 2015 INdoor season with a series of posts.
I'll look at some Age records which might go down.
I'll also look at Class records, as well as who might make it onto my DDD (Top 24 Performers) lists in the next few months undercover.

All this, and as they say, much more!!
See you soon, super excited for the return of INdoor Track and Field!