Back again!
Now for the Age 29's down to the youngest (0 to 17)!
Age 29
David Torrence, Will Leer, and Ben True have a chance for some records.
They might go after the 1500 mark of 3:33.32 or the 1 Mile mark of 3:54.49.
The 3000 record of 7:28.29 would require an American Record!
The 5000 mark of 13:15.64 might be best for True to chase.
Sally Kipyego could get the 3000 record of 8:31.73, the 2 Mile mark of 9:45.99, or the 5000 record of 14:48.21.
Morgan Uceny doesn't turn 30 until March 10th, so she might chase the Age 29 One Mile mark of 4:24.98.
She seems to be on a swift comeback path!
Michelle Carter and Christina Schwanitz would have to get BIG PR's to nab Valerie Adams's 2014 record of 67-9.50!
Age 28
Galen Rupp is eligible for the Age 28 One Mile mark, owned by Eamonn Coghlan, his 3:50.6 run back in 1981.
Rupp could also get the 3000 (7:32.78), 2 Mile (8:06.61), or the 5000 (13:02.95).
Jenny Simpson would need to run the 1500 in 3:59.40 for the record.
The 1 Mile mark is easier, just 4:25.62.
Other possible targets for Jenny are the 2000 (5:40.9), 3000 (8:27.86), 2 Mile (9:19.39), and even the 5000 mark of 14:55.99!
Gabe Grunewald might have a shot at the 1 Mile record too, as might Sarah Brown and Heather Kampf!
Kampf turns 28 on January 19th!
Shelly Anne Fraser-Pryce would need a 60 of 6.96 or a 200 time of 22.33 to get those records.
Alysia Montano could get the 600 mark of 1:26.28!
She ran that distance in an AR 1:23.59 in 2013
Sally Pearson would need a time of 7.63 to just tie Lyudmila Engqvist's record from 1993.
Ivan Ukhov needs a HJ of 7:10.75 to get the record.
Renaud Lavillenie will be chasing Sergey Bubka again, this time his 19-8.25 from 1992!
Ryan Whiting's target is Reese Hoffa's 72-6.50 from 2006.
Britney Riley holds 3 Age records in the WT (20, 21, and 25).
Amber Campbell holds the Age 28 mark with her 81-0.50 from 2010.
Age 27
Ashton Eaton turns 27 on January 21st.
If he does a Heptathlon at USATF, his target will be 6425 points!
Brenda Martinez would need to break the AR to get the Age 27 1000 mark of 2:33.93.
The 1500 and 1 Mile records are 4:03.51 and 4:24.53.
James Dasaolu might get the 60 mark of 6.44.
Muriele Ahoure would need to top SAFP's 6.98 from 2014!
Yarisley Silva would need to top Jenn Suhr's 15-10 from 2009.
Age 26
Kristi Castlin, Nia Ali, and Queen Harrison would be after Susannah Kallur's 7.68 from 2008.
Fran McCorory would need a 49.97 400 to get the record!
And Eunice Sum would need a great 1:57.05 to top legendary Maria Mutola, who ran 1:57.06 in 1999.
Age 25
Gwen Berry would need a WT of 82-5 to just tie Britney Riley's age 25 mark from 2012.
Joe Kovacs would need to PR at 73-0.50 just to tie Werner Gunthor's 1987 record!
Teddy Tamgho would need a 57-10 TJ to get the record.
Bogdan Bondarenko would need to top Javier Sotomayor's 7-10.75 from 1993.
Ditto for Derek Drouin, but he doesn't turn 25 until March 6th!
Matt Centrowitz would have relatively easy targets in the 1500 and 1 Mile (3:33.77 and 3:53.54).
Dejen Gebremeskel would have VERY tough records to chase in the 3000 (7:26.80), 2 Mile (Ken Bekele's WR of 8:04.35!!), or the 5000 (12:50.38)!!
I lost my Age 25 record for the Women's 1500, but I believe it was very close to 4:01.
Thus, if Helen Obiri runs that fast, I'll give it to her....until I can do some research on that again!
She could also challenge Paula Ivan's 4:18.99 One Mile mark from 1989, Meseret Defar's 3000 mark of 8:26.99 and Defar's 2 Mile time of 9:06.26, both from 2009.
Defar's 14:24.37 5000, also from 2009, might be out of reach!
Age 24
What will Genzebe Dibaba do in 2015?
If she runs INdoors, every Age 24 record from the 1500 to the 5000 will be hers for the taking!
(She turns 24 on February 8th!)
They'd be so easy for her, I won't even list the marks!!
However, if Dibaba doesn't run, or isn't in 2014 shape, Emma Coburn or Abeba Aregawi could get the 1500 or 1 Mile marks of 4:04.42 and 4:23.53!
Yenew Alamirew might target the 3000 record of 7:26.14, the 2 Mile mark of 8:16.89, or the 5000 mark of 13:11.44.
If that latter mark sounds familiar, it's Galen Rupp's former AR from 2011.
Chanelle Price could get the 600 (1:26.0), the 800 (1:58.26), or the 1000 (2:34.30) marks!
Tori Bowie would need great times of 6.92 in the 60, or 22.15 in the 200 just to TIE the records!
Christian Taylor would need to LJ 28-3 or TJ 58-6.25 to nab those records.
Darya Klishina would need a LJ of 22-11 for the record.
She turns 24 on January 15th.)
Erik Kynard turns 24 on February 3rd!
The Age 24 HJ mark is Hollis Conway's 7-10.50 from 1991.
Carolina Kluft holds the Age 24 Heptathlon record, with her 4944 from 2007.
Nadine Broersen would need to top that!
Age 23
Pascal Martinot-Lagarde would need to top Dayron Robles's mark of 7.34 in the 60H!!
Jimmy Vicaut would need a massive PR of 6.38 to tolp Maurice Greene's 6.39 from 1998.
But Vicaut doesn't turn 23 until February 27th!
Mutaz Barshim needs a 7-10.25 to get the Age 23 HJ record.
Brianna Rollins needs a 60H mark of 7.74 for that record!
Laura Roesler's 400 speed could help her get the 600 record of 1:25.46!
The 800 mark of 1:56.40 is almost certainly out of her (current!!) abilities!!
Lawi Lalang would need a One Mile of 3:51.34 to tie the record.
The 5000 would be tougher, but doable.
That record is 12:59.04.
Age 22
Dafne Schippers might compete Indoors, as the European Championships INdoor version is next year!
The records for the 60 and 200 are 6.95 and 22.27.
Jenna Prandini isn't in Schippers class just yet, but that 200 mark isn't TOO far from Prandini's range!
Same goes for Kamaria Brown.
Deon Lendore and Kirani James could challenge Thomas Schonlebe's 45.05, dating from 1988!!
Pierre Ambroise-Bosse could target both the 600 (1:15.80) and the 800 (1:44.57) marks.
Caleb Ndiku has the talent to take down the 3000 mark of 7:30.72, the 2 Mile time of 8:15.49, or the 5000 mark of 13:12.00.
Finally (in the Age 22 bracket), there's new Pro Abbey D'Agostino!
If she's ready to RUN like a Pro, she could get the 1 Mile mark of 4:23.33 or the 2 Mile time of 9:31.7.
Age 21
Angelica Bengtsson has been a "junior" star for several years, but she hasn't really broken out just yet.
Will she, in 2015??
She has a HUGE figurehead to go after, the inimitable Yelena Isinbayeva!!
Luckily for Angelica, Isi PV'ed "just" 15-11.25 when she was 21.
Adam Gemili is another youth prodigy.
His targets would be 6.45 in the 60 and 20.26 in the 200.
Faith Kipyegon's goals will be the 1500 record of 4:00.13 (Held by Ms Genzebe Dibaba, from 2012!), or the much easier 1 Mile record of 4:25.73.
Mohammed Aman's targets would be the 600 (1:15.79), the 800 (1:44.34), and the 1000 (2:15.92).
Aman turns 21 on January 10th, as does Kipyegon! (Yes, their birthdays are exactly the same!)
Age 20
Ajee Wilson and Jessica Judd might go after the same records.
The 600 mark is 1:26.35, the 800 is a toughie at 1:57.55, but the 1000 is an easy 2:37.89.
Judd turns 20 on January 5th!
If Shaunae Miller runs INdoors, the 200 and 400 records are 22.57 and 50.80!
Hagos Gebrhiwet's targets could be the 1500 and 1 Mile (3:33.08 & 3:55.09), the 3000 and 2 Mile (7:31.66 and 8:11.85), or even the 5000 (13:08.28, set by Lawi Lalang in 2012).
Age 19
Keturah Orji doesn't turn 19 until March 5th, but that mark is about 17 inches further than her PR!!
Trayvon Bromell might go after the 60 mark of 6.50!
Kendell Williams and Dior Hall might feel they're capable of getting the Age 19 mark of 7.88 in the 60H.
Both would need MAJOR improvement to do so, but that's not unheard of at their age!
Williams could also target the Heptahlon record of 4681.
It's just 46 points beyond her 2014 mark!
Age 18
Will Mary Cain return at FULL power, after her relatively poor 2014 OUTdoor season?
She seems to be an INdoor powerhouse, so if she DOES "come back", her record range goes all the way from 800 (2:01.82) to the 1000 (2:43.40, the "amateur" HSR!!), the 1500 (4:03.28), 1 Mile (4:24.10), 2000 (no current record in my book, so whatever she ran would become the record), but the 3000 would be VERY tough, as it's 8:33.56, while the 2 Mile is just 9:34.03.
The 5000 is (currently) beyond her abilities, as it's the 14:53.19 of Tirunesh Dibaba from 2004!!
Raevyn Rogers could challenge Cain for the 800 mark, and maybe even the 1000.
Alexa Efraimson will be running her first TRACK race as a Pro in 2015.
She could also challenge Cain for the 1 Mile record!
She could also get the 2 Mile mark, if Cain doesn't get it.
Elise Cranny will also be 18 during the INdoor season, but she's running Collegiately, so might not get into "open" races!
Raven Saunders may have been matchless as an American High Schooler, but as for the Age 18 SP mark, forget it!!
It's over TEN FEET beyond her current best!
Desiree Freier has a 15-1.25 PV as her necessary mark for an Age 18 record!
Age 17 (and under)
Sydney McLaughlin ran phenomenal times OUTdoors in 2014 as a FOURTEEN year old HS freshman!!
But is she ready to tackle Francena McCorory's Age record of 51.93, which is also the HSR??
The 60H mark might be easier, as it's 8.17.
I don't think she's anywhere near ready for Age records or even HSR's, but last winter, Sophie Cantine ran a 1000 in 2:47.64 on Seattle's Oversize Track as a HS Frosh!
If that had been on a 200 meter track, she would have broken the Frosh Class record, and come within 0.35 of Mary Cain's Soph Class record!!
However, Cain's 2:35.80 from 2014 stands as the untouchable Age 17 mark!
Finally, there's my LISTED Age 17 5000 record of 16:11.85.
I'm almost certain some African has run better at that age, even INdoors, but I haven't found any!
So until I do, both Hannah DeBalsi and Stephanie Jenks have a decent shot at that mark, probably at the NBIN.
Cain's 9:38.68 Two Mile is probably JUST outside their current abilities, although both of them could surprise us!
And that is it, folks!!
Next post will come just after the NCAA XC Championships next Saturday!
It will cover potential CLASS Records, from the 9th grade of HS to the Senior class of Collegians!
And I'm certain it will necessitate just ONE post, not two!!
That will be followed by a double-post entry again, covering who I believe can make it into my DDD Top 24 Performers lists in 2015 (INdoor only, of course!!).
I'll do one each for Men and Women.
And after that, probably in early December, we should have some NEWS to report, either early marks or announcements of who's competing where!!
See you later this week!
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