Sunday, November 16, 2014

2015 INDOOR T&F Preview: AGE Records (Part 1)

My previous post's title--Battle of the Ages--might have been a better title for THIS post, which will look at which Age Records might be challenged in the 2015 INdoor T&F season.
But before I get to that, a bit of news and views from other fronts.

The NCAA Regional races were held a couple of days ago.
All the Big Names made it through.
Shelby Houlihan, Emma Bates, Crystal Nelson, Elise Cranny, Bethan Knights, Leah O'Connor, and a few others on the women's side.
There was a BIG upset in the Men's West Regional, as Maxim Korelev beat heavily favored Ed Cheserek!
The NCAA Championship is in less than 1 week!

The USATF 12K Road Race was held this morning.
Molly Huddle won again, but no record.
Her 38:07 beat Emily Sisson's 38:20 easily.  Kim Conley was 3rd in 38:41.
The Men's race had a surprise winner in Brian Schrader, who set a Course Record with his 34:10.
He just beat Diego Estrada's 34:11 and last year's winner Aaron Braun's 34:13
I said earlier that Molly Huddle didn't get a new record.
But Jen Rhines did!
Her 40:30 broke the US record for the distance for 40-and-overs!
Previous best was by Colleen DeReuck in the 2004 Bloomsday 12K, her time having been 40:48.

Two women have turned up pregnant, and will miss the entire 2015 season, Indoors and Out!
Tatyana Lysenko and Tirunesh Dibaba are the 2 mothers-to-be!

Now on to the Age Records for the 2015 INdoor season.
I will present my selections in inverse Age order, from oldest (40 and over) to the youngest (0 to 17).
The only Age I don't have any picks for is Age 39.
I'll group the athletes by Age, not by gender or event.
Note that there is no guarantee these athletes will compete INdoors, nor which events they might choose.
But these people have at least SOME chance to get a particular Age Record.
(Check back at season's end to see how many did it!)
So, here we go!

Age 40
Bernard Lagat has a chance to get SEVEN Age records, if he runs all the distances, and/or is timed enroute!
The records are 2:26.71 (1000), 3:44.12 (1500), 3:58.15 (1 Mile), 8:09.13 (3000), plus the 2000, 2 Mile, and 5000 records, for which I have no records for 40+.
Jo Pavey and Helen Clitheroe have shots at the 3000 (9:02.83), the 2 Mile (Clitheroe has that one, her 9:50.65 from the 2014 season!), and the currently empty slot for the 5000.

Age 39
None.

Age 38
Kim Collins can get Linford Christie's 1999 mark of 6.57 in the 60.
If he ran the 200, he'd have that one, as there's currently no record.

Age 37
Reese Hoffa has a clear field, as I have no Age 37 SP mark!
(Adam Nelson has the Age 36 mark of 69-10.50, while the Age 38 mark is just 64-10.25, so anything Hoffa throws will be a good record!)

Age 36
Chris Brown holds 4 INdoor 400 Age records (31, 33, 34, and 35).
If he runs just 1 race, he'll fill the empty Age 36 slot!
AG Kruger now holds SIX Age records for the WT (28, 29, 31, 32, 34 & 35).
Age 36 might be tough, as Lance Deal threw 79-5.25 in 1998!
Can Angelo Taylor challenge Chris Brown for the 400 record?

Age 35
How old is Darvis Patton?
My FAST Annual has his birthdate as December 4, 1979.
My Athletics Annual has it as December 4, 1977!
Carmelita Jeter would need a 7.02 to just tie Merlene Ottey's 7.02 from 1996.
The 200 slot is empty for Age 35, so if she runs it, she has the record!
Ruth Beitia got the Age 34 HJ record in 2014. with her 6-6.25.
It would take only a 6-5 to nab the Age 35 mark!

Age 34
The Age 34 PV slot is open for Svetlana Feofanova to take it.
Ryan Wilson would have to run 7.47 to beat Colin Jackson's 7.48 60H record from 2002.
Dylan Armstrong will have to throw the SP 71-4.50 to beat Reese Hoffa's 2012 mark of 71-4.25.
It was just announced that Susanna Kallur is coming back at a February meet in Europe!
Don't have the meet's date, but she turns 34 on February 16.
Her target  60H mark is a 7.88.

Age 33
 Jenn Suhr (She turns 33 on February 5!), Anna Rogowska, and Fabiana Murer will try to top Stacy Dragila's 14-11 from 2005.
(Murer doesn't turn 34 until March 16th!)
Amber Campbell holds EIGHT Weight Throw Age records (23, then 26-32!).
The Age 33 slot is empty.
Make it NINE, Amber!!
Maggie Vessey's best chance for an Age Record would be in the 1000, but she'd need to run an AR 2:32.95 to get it!!
The 800 mark is in the 1:57's.
Treniere Moser's best shot would be the 5000 mark of 15:25.02.
Or to challenge Vessey for that 1K record!

Age 32
Veronica Campbell-Brown would need a 6.97 60 to beat Gail Devers's record from 1999.
Lolo Jones would need a 7.87 60H for the record.
Ditto for Kellie Wells!
Anna Chicherova needs to HJ 6-8.25 to tie the Age 32 mark.

Age 31
Meseret Defar's targets are relatively easy.
8:37.91 (3000), 9:38.06 (2 Mile), and 14:54.73 (5000).
Blanka Vlasic and Chaunte Lowe need just HJ 6-5 for the record!
Olga Saladuha needs to TJ 49-3 to just tie the record.
Caterine Ibarguen turns 31 on February 12th!
Nick Symmonds would have to break Johnny Gray's AR of 1:45.00 to get the 800 mark
The 1000's a bit easier, as it's Nate Brannen's 2:16.87 from 2014.
Nick Willis would be chasing relatively easy marks in the 1500 (3:36.76) and 1 Mile (3:55.87).
Add Mo Farah (!!) to the mix, as he's announced he'll run in the London meet!
Not sure which event, but all of the marks from 1500 to the 5000 are easy targets.
Besides the 2 listed above, add the 3000 (7:33.73), 2 Mile (8:17.06), or the 5000 (13:11.13).

Age 30
Shannon Rowbury seems ready to tackle the Age 30 marks in the 1500 (4:03.09), 1 Mile (4:23.00), 2000 (5:40.95), 3000 (8:33.05), 2 Mile (9:52.06 ?!), or the 5000, which is REALLY tough, as it would require a massive AR of 14:39.28!!
Molly Huddle could challenge Rowbury in the 3K-5K range.
Val Adams would need to SP 67-11 to tie the record.
Dawn Harper Nelson would need to run 7.77 in the 60H for the record.
Aleksey Dmitrik needs a HJ of 7-11.25 to just tie Carlos Thranhardt's 1988 record!

I'm going to continue this preview in a new post, as the introductory material made this longer than I wanted!
Be ready in the next hour or so!



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