Wednesday, January 8, 2014

2014 to be a record-breaking year?

The Rolling Stones had a great song that might have been speaking about the 2014 indoor T&F season.
That's right, the Stones!!
(Not too much a joke, as Mick Jagger was known to sometimes run 10 miles a day!!)
Anyway, the song was "Waiting On a Friend".

The "Friend" we're all "Waiting on" is the highly-anticipated onslaught of record-breaking I see as more and more a GIVEN!!
Here's some reasons why:

I gave lots of details on the Nike Oregon Project's "invasion of Boston U's indoor track in the coming month in my December 21 post "NOP invades BU--Records?".
Now Coach Salazar has made it almost a guarantee: The NOP crew ARE going for RECORDS!!
And when a World Class team like NOP says they're going for records, you can safely bet records WILL fall!!

In addition to the list I provided in that post.....
ADD: Shannon Rowbury & Jordan Hasay to the January 16th 1000 field, along with Mary Cain and Treniere Moser!  With Rowbury in it, I'm not as certain that it will be Cain and Moser setting the records.
If Shannon's ready, this could be the fastest 1000 of the entire season!!

ADD: Matthew Centrowitz will run a 1000 on Jan 24/25.

ADD: Also in Boston, but at the Reggie Lewis Center on February 8 (the same day Galen Rupp will be going for the mile record at BU!!), Cain will go for the records at the rarely run 2000!!

The latter is particularly intriguing.
As noted, the 2K is rarely run anymore, indoors or out.
Here's the relevant records (and other data):

World Record: 5:30.53 by Gabriela Szabo in 1998.
American Record: 5:34.52 by Mary Slaney in 1985.

I will now say that 17 year old Mary Cain has a chance---though a less-than-50/50 chance!---to get the WR!!
But her chances for the American Record go up to about 80/20!!
Evenly split, that's 1500 enroute in 4:10.89, or approximately 4:30 at the mile, with a 64 last 400!
If Cain is serious, the AR is GONE!!
For the far less likely WR, Cain's even splits would lead to a 4:07.89 enroute 1500, and about 4:27 at the mile, with a 63 last 400!!  Possible??
(BTW, second fastest American indoor 2000?  Ruth Wysocki's 5:45.93 from 1985!  That's right, it's 11+ seconds behind Slaney's record!!)
(And 3rd on the World indoor list, behind Szabo and Slaney?  None other than Meseret Defar's enroute time of 5:34.8 from 2006!)

Another 2000 race that just now was announced is at the Millrose Games.
A class field includes:
Bernard Lagat (The AR is 4:58.6 by Steve Scott in 1981.  The WR is 4:49.99 by Ken Bekele in 2007!)
Nick Willis
Cam Levins
Evan Jager
German Fernandez

Some other news has popped up recently that surely indicate 2014 will be a record-breaking year!
Or at least a far noisier year than first anticipated, being it's a non-OG/WC year!  (Well, we're talking INDOORS....and we have the World Indoor meet in March!!)

Here's some news of who's appearing where:

Besides Cain at the Boston New Balance meet on February 8......

Jenn Suhr will be in the PV
Hagos Gebrhiwet will run the 3000.
Nick Willis and Leonel Manzano will do the 1 mile.
Ryan Whiting will lead the SP.
And don't forget, Jenny Simpson has already been slated to do the 2 Mile, and Brenda Martinez the 1000!!

The Russian Winter meeting on February 2 has.....
Pam Jelimo in the 800.  The Meet Record is Larisa Zhao's 1:57.53 in 2005.
Francena McCorory in the 400.  The Meet Record is Olga Zaitseva's 50.15 in 2006.
(And probably a whole lot more!!)

This coming weekend?
Well, there's the Dartmouth Relays.
No word about what....or if....Abbey D'Agostino will run, but....if she does, based on her December- fastest-EVER 5000 of 15:40.55, you can wager it will be FAST!!

Yes, I am (WE are!!) "Waiting On a Friend"!!

And I think I see the plane approaching!!!

3 comments:

  1. Though I'm not likely to comment very often, I just want to let you know that I read and enjoy all your posts. The wealth of information provided enhances my enjoyment of the sport. But, hey, if Mary Cain ever really had a "leash" on her, it sure wasn't working very well! :-)

    For this early in the season, I think Slaney's 2K record will be a big challenge for Mary. I hope she gets it, but that is quite a good record by Queen Mary I. But Queen Mary II is the new improved model, and maybe she can do it!

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    2. The "leash" was Al telling her to "run w/ the 2nd group of girls" in Boston 2 mile last year.
      And him saying she could run 15:20 then, but telling her to go just for the 15:46 needed Q at PTF.
      Thus year, he's explicitly said his team is going for records!!
      As for her getting the 2K AR?
      As noted, she'd have to pass 1500 at about 4:10.89 (a 4:30 mile), then do a 64 last 400.
      This is set for Feb 8.
      Before that, she'll have done a mile and a 1000.
      When she ran that 4:28 last year, Sal said she was in shape for 4:25 (about 4:08 enroute)..
      As noted, she'd need a 4:10.89, then a 64 last 400.
      She was 16 last year!
      Now she's an Old Lady of 17!! LOL
      Hopefully, she'll have 2 necessities for a record: great pacing and good competition!

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