INdoor Record Predictions--Women

MAJOR Announcement!!
Just after posting my Men's Predictions, I went to Twitter to see what's what.
Here's what I found!

Molly Huddle will try to break the American Record in the 5000 meters in the Millrose Games!
That record is Shalane Flanagan's 14:47.62 from 2009.
If successful (or even close!), she'd also get the Age 31 record (14:54.73)
Right now, Flanagan's mark ranks her 8th A-T World!
Huddle's INdoor PR of 15:13+ is probably 25th or 26th A-T World at present!

But the Millrose announcement didn't stop with Huddle!
Also set to compete are Andre De Grasse, Ashton Eaton (60H & LJ), Aleec Harris, Lalonde Gordon (400), Eric Jenkins, Derek Drouin, Robbie Andrews, and Chris O'Hare among the men.
For the women, we'll see (besides Huddle) Shannon Rowbury (1 Mile), Jenna Prandini, Sandi Morris (PV), Queen Harrison (60H), Ajee Wilson, Kendall Baisden, Jordan Hasay (the 5K??), Nicole Tully, and Kerri Gallagher!

BTW, before I start my Women's Predictions, I have a correction to make, and a news item!
In my last results post, I said Chelsea Reilly took 2nd in the Sacramento track 10000.
Well, sort of!
Chelsea did take 2nd in that race.
Except it was newly married Chelsea SODARO who ran so well!!
Her wedding was early November!

Also, Meseret Defar ran her first post-pregnancy race!!
She easily won a Road 15K, running 50:04.
Her 5K splits were 16:56, 16:50, and--16:18!!
I'd say she's BAAAACCKKK!!!

Onto the Predictions!

WORLD--WOMEN
As with the Men, the 60 mark of 6.92 is fairly inviolable!
But not entirely impossible!
Merlene Ottey's WR 200 of 21.87 is a bit easier, IMO.
And if Dafne Schippers and Elaine Thompson (& SAFP & Allyson Felix!) make the attempt?
Then the odds go to 80-20 for the record being broken!

The 400 could go, even though it's now 33 years old. (In 2016, it will be 34 years old!)
But only Felix, Shaunae Miller, SRR, and Fran McCorory have any chance at it!

Alysia Montano ALMOST got the WR in the 600 (1:23.44) in 2013 with her 1:23.59.
Can she, or Ajee Wilson (or??) take it down?

What will Genzebe Dibaba run, if anything?
No announcements of record attempts--yet--from her!
But let's put it this way!
If she's in her 3:50.07 OUTdoor 1500 WR shape, then EVERY INdoor record can fall!!
The 800 (1:55.82), 1000 (2:30.94), 1500 (3:55.17), Mile (4:17.14), 3000 (8:16.60), 2 Mile (9:00.48) and 5000 (14:18.86), with the 1500, 3000, 2 Mile, and 5000 belonging to GD already!
Will Almaz Ayana and Viola Kibiwot join any record chases??

The 60H WR of Susan Kallur (7.68) SHOULD go--especially with all the great hurdlers this world has!
I'll give it 55-45 odds of going!

One of these days, another woman will reach 6-10 again in the HJ, whether INdoors or OUTdoors!
Ditto with 24 feet in the LJ.
But probably not THIS INdoor season!
Still, I'll give, say, 30-70 odds for both!

Can Caterine Ibarguen get the TJ mark of 50-4.75?
Possible, but without serious competition, probably not!

Jenn Suhr won't be at the WC in 2016 (See previous post!), and maybe not Isi either!
With the PV field thus weakened, look for Suhr's WR Vault of 16-5.50 from 2013 surviving into 2017.

The SP record is other-worldly--so forget it!
But the WT mark of 83-10.25?
50-50.

If KJT and BTE and JEH all compete in Portland's Heptathlon, look for all three hitting 5000+ territory, with the WR a 90-10 likelihood!

Three Relays might see new WR's---IF shots are taken at them!
They are the 4X400 (3:23.37), 4X800 (8:06.24), and the DMR (10:42.57).

UNITED STATES--WOMEN
The AR for the 60 is "only" 6.95, but still unlikely to fall!
But the 200 (22.18) and 400 (50.46) could go!
Prandini, Felix, Jeneba Tarmoh, and Candyce McGrone are the serious candidates for the 200, with Felix, SRR, and McCorory being the standbys for the 400.

With Huddle said to be shooting for the 5000 mark, EVERY mid-and long distance AR could go down!
Several 800 types could challenge the 600, 800 (1:58.71), and 1000 (2:34.19) AR's.
Rowbury, Jenny Simpson, and too many others to list here could challenge the longer distances--1500 (3:59.98), Mile (4:20.5), 3000 (8:33.25), and 2 Mile (9:18.35)--with Huddle (and???) going for the 5K.

Forget the Beijing 100H debacle earlier this year!
Lolo Jones's 7.72 60H AR is NOT that great!
Not with the WEALTH of female hurdle power the US has!
Don't be shocked if SEVERAL women go 7.65 or faster!!

IF Chaunte Lowe herself--and Brigetta Barrett--make STRONG returns to form, then Lowe's HJ mark of 6-7.50 can go.
Tianna Bartoletta and Brittney Reese could challenge Reese's LJ mark of 23-7.50.
And watch for Keturah Orji to go after the TJ mark of 46-8.25!
She's just 3 inches away!

Will Raven Saunders join "Shot Diva" Michelle Carter in chasing the SP record of 65-3.25?
That, and the WT mark (See the WR section!), can fall!
55-45 odds for both!

IF Kendell Williams lets loose at NCAA's (and/or USATF??), the Pentathlon AR of 4805 can go.
The DMR record can go.  (See my World's comment!)
As can the 4X400 mark of 3:24.83!

COLLEGIATE--WOMEN
The Collegiate Women's sprint corps is ALWAYS strong and deep!
Thus, the CR's of 7.08 and 22.40 in the 60 and 200 are vulnerable!
But with Jenna Prandini turning Pro, erase her from your list of record-chasing possibles!
The 400 mark is also the American Record, and with Kendall Baisden ALSO a Professional now, erase HER from your 400 list of Collegiate Record breaking eligibles!

The Collegiate middle and long distance lists are fairly deep--but missing Collegiate age Pro's like Alexa Efraimson and Mary Cain!
But who needs THEM when you have so many others raring to go?!
The CR's are 1:27.78 (600), 2:00.75 (800), 2:41.00 (1000), 4:09.77 (1500), 4:25.91 (Mile), 8:42.03 (3000), and 15:12.22 (5000).
Will be interesting to see which top Freshman--Allie Ostrander, Anna Rohrer??--go for fast times INdoors!
They might not get the overall CR's, but they could reach high places on my Collegiate Top 24's!
Most likely records to go?
I'd say the 800, 1000, 1500, and 5000.
55-45 for all!

Brianna Rollins's 7.78 over the 60H is tough, but women like Dior Hall are coming on strong!
With Prandini gone from the Collegiate ranks, the LJ record of 22-8 will probably remain into 2017.
Look for Orji to POSSIBLY reach 47 feet in the TJ!
Saunders MIGHT (WILL??) get Tia Brooks's SP mark of 63-0.75!
The WT  record--also the WORLD & American Records--will remain!!

Look for Williams to erase her own CR in the Heptathlon!

The weakest Relay mark might be the 4X800 (8:25.5).
That's about 2:06.3 per leg!

HIGH SCHOOL--WOMEN
As noted in my Men's post, don't expect many (any??) HSR's until the NBIN meet in March!
But we SHOULD expect the usual barrage of HSR's there!
A full TWELVE HSR's date from 2013, 2014, and 2015.
And then there's three HS PRO records from 2014--all belonging to Mary Cain--making it 15 HSR's from the past 3 years!

Speaking of those early-signing Professionals, you can eliminate both Kaylin Whitney and Candace Hill from your "amateur" HS record-breaking eligibles!
(But both CAN set HS PRO records in the 60 and 200, as they remain HS'ers, even if not HSR eligible!!)

Nonetheless, look for such as Teahna Daniels, Lauren Rain Williams, and Khalifa St Fort to challenge the 60 (7.19) and 200 (22.97) HSR's.
In the 400 (and the 300 too!), watch what Sydney McLaughlin does in 2016!
The records are 36.96 and 51.93.

The mid-and long distances remain strong--even if missing SUPERstars like Cain & Efraimson!
There's several candidates talented enough to challenge the 600 (1:28.87), 800 (2:01.8), 1000 (2:43.40), and 5000 (16:10.79) marks.
And I wouldn't totally forget Cain's 4 amateur HSR's--4:11.72 & 4:28.25 for the 1500 & Mile, 9:04.51 & 9:38.68 for the 3000 and 2 Mile!
Again, too many to list here!
But look AGAIN for a 5000 HSR at NBIN!!
If it happens, that would make it SIX consecutive years when the HSR was broken at NBIN!!
(And a sub-16:00 time is VERY doable!!)

Anna Cockrell began the season with TWO 8.29 times for 60H.
The HSR is 8.11.
Can she (or McLaughlin!) get it?
Odds are 35-65!

Will Vashti Cunningham HJ INdoors in 2016?
If so, it's BYE-BYE to Lisa Bernhagen's 32 year old (in 2016) HSR of 6-3!!

If Courtney Corrin goes to NBIN, the 21-7.50 LJ record can go.
Otherwise, give it, at best, 35-65.
There's no Keturah among the TJ candidates, so forget THAT record!

The Pole Vault?
Well, both Tori and Lexi Weeks are competing as Arkansas Razorback Frosh in 2016.
Even so, expect to see at least one 14-footer in 2016, and maybe 3 or 4!
Can any get Tori's INdoor mark of 14-4?
Yes!
I'd give it 50-50 odds!

Forget the Throws--both Saunders's SP mark (56-7.50), and Shelbi Ashe's WT mark of 68-2.50!

Also eliminate Williams's Pent mark of 4068 from your list of fallible HSR's!

As for the Relays, my same caveat applies here!
ALL of the HSR's could fall, and at least one WILL!
Which one(s)??

Hopefully, I'll have more incredible December marks to report in a few days--probably Monday!
And/or other news items!
(My post with the LEAST marks needed for my Top 24's will come soon---but not sure when exactly!)

See you!
Enjoy!