Much to do, so let's make it happen!
I'm combining the genders here, unlike last year!
All running events are scheduled for Women first, then the Men!
I'm listing just the Women's Mile and 2 Mile among the MANY Emerging Elite events!
I will preview the events--as close to the FINALS schedule as possible, although some overlap will happen with the field events!
I'll list just the fastest (or elite) sections, as the distance races have slower sections!
I'll list the MEET Record, then the leading contenders, and my odds for whether the MEET Record will be broken!
I'll list the Women's MR first, then the Men's, as the schedule indicates that's how the order will go!
(In the case of the NBIN, several MR's are also the HSR!!)
SOME of the MR's date from the earlier version of this meet, which this blog considers THE Meet Record, even though the NBIN lists ONLY records set since New Balance took over!!
The meet is 3 days long (March 10-12), and will have a FREE livestream for all 3 days--all day!!
They begin early, so West Coast viewers will have to wake up before dawn to see it all!
As I said, much to report, so here we go!!
FRIDAY
EE 2 Mile (Don't have the MR) Watch for Rylee Bowen to win this. It could be fast, as in sub 10:20!
5000 (16:08.83 & 14:06.78))
The Women's race could see the SEVENTH consecutive HSR (all by different runners!) broken in this meet!
Brie Oakley--based on her brilliant XC season, could be the one to do it!
But she's never run a 5000 on a track, INdoors or OUTdoors!!
And I haven't seen her name in results all season!
So watch for Libby Davidson, Annie Hill, and Katherine Lee to challenge.
70-30 odds!
The Men's race has ZERO recognizable names!!
So this could be a wide-open race.
But the odds for a new MR are 0-100!!
DMR (11:34.85 & 10:00.75)
Three teams have big names!
Though I always caution that ONE "star" does NOT a team (or Record!) make!
Watch for North Rockland TC of NY, who has Katelyn Tuohy on anchor!
EC Glass TC of VA has Libby Davidson, while Patriot TC of VA has Rachel McArthur!
Without Kate Murphy and her team here, odds for a MR are 10-90!!
Three Men's teams have known entities!
But watch for the Carlisle TC of PA--with both Noah and Sam Affolder--as the favorite!
Also with stars are the Brentwood TC of TN (Brodey Hasty), and Germantown Friends of PA (Nick Dahl)!
No MR here either!
HJ--Women (6-0.25)
Here again, NO "names" to set my eyes on fire!
The Women's HJ--overall--has been weak the past few years--aside from Vashti Cunningham, that is!!
SATURDAY
Pentathlon (4068 &4307)
Erin Marsh and Antonia Frazier have the 2 "best" marks of the year, but the topper is just 3200 points!
But this event is rarely contested before the NBIN!!
MR odds are 0-100!
As with the Women, the Men's season bests may not be indicative of their potential!
Nonetheless, this MR is safe too.
The top 2 seem to be Danny Renwick and Samuel Rusak.
1 Mile Walk (6:57.36 & 6:06.13)
When you have the HSR holder in the meet, you generally go with her!
And that's the case here, so give Lauren Harris the Gold right now!
Odds for her to break her own Meet and HSR are 90-10!
Same goes for the Men--in one sense!
Cameron Haught is the HSR holder, but not the MR holder!
Nonetheless, give him 40-60 odds to get it!
The 60 Heats are scheduled here!
Following will be the 60H Heats!
Then come the 4X200 Relay heats!
(Be difficult if anyone's running both the 60 and this Relay!)
4X Mile Relay (19:59.24 & 17:07.17)
The Women's race will have Jessica Lawson (who just ran a 4:26 for 1500!) anchoring her Corning TC team of NY!!
But a MR seems unlikely!
30-70 odds!
The Men have NO recognizable names on their teams, so NO Meet Record!!
Still, one of my favorite races to watch!!
SMR (3:52.68 & 3:24.02)
The Women's MR could be in some jeopardy, as Katelyn Tuohy anchors her North Rockland team!
But watch also for South Dade Express TC of FL, who has Symone Mason in the 400, and Bronxville HS of NY (Sound familiar?? LOL), who has Kaitlyn Ryan!
BTW, see my post about Bronxville HS missing Mary Cain from a couple of years ago, where I mention Ms Ryan as a possible future star!!
No Men's team have any "big" names, so it's a free-for-all!
MR odds are ZIP, NADA!!
EE 1 Mile
No MR here either, but watch for Clare Martin to win it.
She's run in the 2:47's over 1000 meters!
The 400 Heats, followed by the 200 Heats, are scheduled here!
4X800 Relay (8:54.11 & 7:36.99)
Sorry, but no names here either!
Another race to watch for the exciting unknowns!!
Ditto for the Men!!
LJ--Men (26-0.25)
Noah (Get your Spelling cap on! LOL) Igbinoghene is the leading LJ'er (and TJ'er!!) of 2017, so give him the top spot on the podium!
But watch for William Henderson to make it close!
MR odds are actually 60-40!!
SP--Women (56-7.50)
Alyssa Wilson.
Need I say more?
I'd be surprised if she doesn't nail this MR (and FORMER High School Record!!) at least once during the competition!
58 feet is her next target!!
Kathleen Young is good, but not in Wilson's World!
Watch also for WT specialist Jill Shippee!
100-0 for Wilson to take the MR down--with emphasis!!
PV--Men (17-11.25)
WOW!!
Having Mondo Duplantis follow Alyssa Wilson should keep EVERYONE in their seats--no bathroom or refreshment breaks!!
Give this WORLD Class PV'er 100-0 odds for DESTROYING this MR!!!
(Warning: He wasn't so great in the 2016 NBIN, despite winning! He reached "just" 17-1 then, even though he'd set the HSR at over 18 feet!!)
Riley Richards, KC Lightfoot, and Zach McWhorter might keep things interesting!
(Richards's poles--ALL of them!--were broken in half (!) by Southwest Airlines enroute to this meet! He'll be vaulting on borrowed poles!!)
LJ--Women (21-3.25)
This one's LOADED!!
But even though she leapt a monster 21-11 for the HSR, Tara Davis's later efforts haven't been close!
Toss the dice to see whether Davis, Jasmine Moore, Titiana Marsh, or Lanae-Tava Thomas comes out on top!!
Odds for a MR are good, however!
65-35!
SP--Men (71-2.75)
Here's another event to sit still for!
Jordan Geist vs Tripp Piperi--the Shot Put Fight at the Armory Corral!!
While Geist is probably favored, due to his 68-4 HSR with the 16 pounder, and his longer Puts with the 12, do NOT go solely on that!!
Either one is capable of taking down the MR---and maybe even Ryan Crouser's HSR with the 12!!
Watch for Nick Lane also!
Odds are 100 to zero for the MR!
HJ--Men (7-5.25)
No MR here!
David Claxton and Kyle Garland lead the season, but just right around 7 feet even!
Flip a coin!
SUNDAY
The 60H Semi's, followed by the 60 Semi's, are scheduled here!
4X200 Relay (1:36.35 & 1:26.21)
Give Team War of VA the edge, as they have Kori Carter (3rd leg) and Syaira Richardson (anchor), while Cheltenham TC of PA has "just" Chanel Brissett (2nd leg!) to offset that pair!
BTW, Ms Carter is no relation to the World Class 400H gal with the same name!
But she's good!!
MR odds are 60-40!
As with a few other Relays, no big names for the Men, so roll the dice!
With Noah Lyles out of HS and a Pro, forget any new MR!!
2 Mile (9:55.92 & 8:40.70) (3000 meter MR's are 9:17.4 & 8:09.57)
Brie Oakley is back, after running the 5K on Friday!
But she'll have some company of a certain quality class!
Watch for Libby Davidson, Annie Hill, Kelsey Chmiel, Jessica Lawson, and Rebecca Story to challenge--in a BIG way!!
After a potential HSR in the 5K (See above!), I don't know how much Oakley (Or??) will have left to get Melody Fairchild's venerable MR, dating from 1991!
Odds are 40-60!
The Men have a solid field too!
Leading the way might be 4:00.97 Miler DJ Principe!
But keep your eyes on Noah Affolder, Nick Dahl, and the guy who gets my vote for Best Hair--Brodey Hasty!
Maybe for Best Name too!! LOL
But the MR should survive!
20-80 odds!
60H (8.02 & 7.53)
How can the 2016 edition of the Women's race be topped??
Read my report from that meet to remember what went down!
And I tell you this---RECORDS went down, NOT hurdles!!
That said, we have a classy trio of Women here--to perhaps challenge that 2016 event!!
Tia Jones is the HSR holder for the OUTdoor 100H.
But she has yet to transfer that over to the shorter INdoor race!
So look for Chanel Brissett and Tara Davis to make Jones have to WORK for the win!
But I see the MR (and HSR!) surviving to 2018--at least!
Like a few others, Trey Cunningham stands alone here!
The HSR holder at 7.49, he looks good as both the winner AND the new MR holder!
But watch for Cory Poole!
Odds are 85-15!
60 (7.26 & 6.57)
The Women's 60 is another LOADED race--which makes this another coin flipper!
But I see Jayla Kirkland and Symone Mason as the leading entrants!
Look too for Syaira Richardson and Thelma Davies.
Lynna Irby is more a long sprinter, so it will be interesting to see what she can do at this "distance"!
MR odds are 40-60!
The Men's MR is the HSR too, so give this one ZERO odds of getting broken!
BUT--we have MISTER Tyrese Cooper here--and he is TRIPLING!!
That said, the short race is his "weakest"--if such a word can be used for the new Usain Bolt!!
William Henderson might actually give Cooper a race!!
400 (51.84 & 46.57)
I have to combine my comments for both genders here!
Why?
Sydney McLaughlin and Ty Cooper, that's why!!
BOTH Meet Records--and BOTH High School Records!!--are in DIRE straits!!
Cooper came THIS close earlier this season, with his 46.01.
And McLaughlin is on FIRE again this season!
(Remember last year, when she followed her HSR with a 51.65 Relay leg an hour later!!)
In the Women's race, watch for Canadian star Victoria Tachinsky, and US runner Syaira Richardson to "challenge"!
For the Men, Rodney Agyare-May, Chantz Sawyers, and Brian Herron might be closer than you think!
Odds for both MR's are 100-0!
1 Mile (4:36.61 & 4:03.84) (1500 meter MR's are 4:17.68 & 3:46.41)
Sammy Watson!!
The ONLY question here is whether she goes after Mary Cain's HSR of 4:28.25!!
She CAN run that fast!
But she won't have anyone close at the end to push her, despite a good field, which includes Lexy Halladay, Rachel McArthur, Sophie Cantine, and Rylee Bowen!
More likely, Watson will end up around 4:32--a MR, but Cain's HSR will survive!
Prove me wrong, Sammy!!
The Men's race is lacking David Principe!
However, XC stud Reed Brown is here, as well as Josh Hoey--who just happened to BEAT Mr Principe in the Millrose race!!
The MR will survive another year, but a sub-4:10 is pretty certain!
800 (2:03.59 & 1:49.94)
Rachel McArthur is listed in BOTH the Mile and 800!
As they're scheduled to follow each other maybe MINUTES apart, I kind of doubt she'll end up doing both!
IF she does, her challengers will be Clare Martin and Bronxville's Kaitlin Ryan!!
I pick Martin to win--unless McArthur skips the Mile!
No MR here!
Brandon McGorty is here!!
He's HEAVILY favored--for the win AND the MR!!
Only "competition" might come from Cameron Cooper!
Even the HSR of 1:49.21 is in danger, with McGorty in the race!!
200 (23.23 & 20.63)
The Women's race should be a "leaner"--meaning that to win, she'll have to LEAN at the tape!!
(Hopefully not go SPLAT on the track as well!! LOL)
Toss that worthless coin to see if Jayla Kirkland, Symone Mason, Lanae-Tava Thomas, or Lynna Irby prevails!
I'll pick LTT!!
Odds for a MR are 60-40!
Tyrese Cooper CAN get Noah Lyles's MR--but by tripling here, he lowers the odds to 50-50!!
His most serious challenger has a GREAT name for an athlete--CHAMPION Allison!!
But with Ty here, Mr Allison won't be no "champion"!!
4X400 Relay (3:40.28 & 3:13.34)
Union Catholic will be here---and is probably the favorite!
I said "probably" because I don't know the woman who's replacing Sydney McLaughlin on anchor!
I'm guessing McLaughlin isn't running this because she wants to concentrate on CRUSHING the 400 HSR!!
Don't know if they allow for last-minute changes (except for emergencies!), so let's take this as a McLaughlin-less race!!
So NO Meet Record!
No "names" on the Men's squads, so it's a toss-up!
And no MR either!
Hang in there, folks!
Got "just" 5 field events left to preview!
Maybe it was the wrong decision to combine the genders??
What's YOUR thinking on that?
WT--Women (68-2.50)
Gianna Rao--steady all season at 60 feet or more!--seems the clear favorite!
But watch to see what SP giant Alyssa Wilson does here--in her SECONDARY event!!
She's good, but not in Rao's class!
In fact, if anyone is to challenge Rao, it will be Jill Shippee, who also has a PR of 60+!
Kathleen Young might be a solid back-up!
No MR, however!
TJ--Men (52-7.50)
That "name" is back--Noah Igbinoghene!
(Did I spell it correctly?)
Hazani Knight is a good one also!
However, the best of 2017 has barely edged past 50 feet, so ZERO odds for the MR!
WT--Men (92-7.50)
Despite Jordan Geist and Jacob Wickey here to do battle, this otherworldly MR will survive---maybe until 2117!!
Challengers include Nick Lane and Brent Fairbanks!
TJ--Women (44-2)
While Tara Davis has an OUTdoor PR of 43-2, she hasn't been "on" in this event this year, so throw her into the mix for a win, but NOT a MR!!
But STRONG contenders will be Jasmine Moore and Titiana Marsh!!
Odds are 20-80!
PV--Women (14-2.75)
A GREAT event to end this meet with!
(And let's hope they jump so high that the "end" of the schedule needs an extension!!)
Rachel Baxter--the only woman with a PR of 14 feet or more still competing, isn't entered!!
So look for Becky Arbive to be the VERY slight favorite going in!
Carson Dingler should be a STRONG challenger to Arbiv!
Others to watch are Colleen Clancy, Katie Jones, and Jenn Suhr-mentored Erica Ellis!!
No MR, but I'll still give the odds at 40-60!
And THAT, my friends, is a WRAP!!
Look for my NCAA Preview--both genders in one again!!--in the next few hours!!
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