Thursday, November 26, 2015

INdoor AGE Records--Part 2

OK, folks, here's Part 2 of my Age Records preview.
For my intro to the format, check either my previous post, or last year's posts, dated November 16th, 2014!
(In fact, feel free to look again at ANY of my 200 earlier posts!)
So here we go, starting with Age 29.

Age 29
Galen Rupp could go after 4 Age records--the Mile (3:54.49), 3000 (7:28.29), 2 Mile (8:04.69), and 5000 (13:15.64).
For the 3K or 2 Mile marks,he'd have to break the American Records!
(Will NOP runners do any Boston University WR or AR attempts, like they have in past years??  None have been announced yet!)
LaShawn Merritt or Isaac Makwela could get the VERY easy 400 record of 45.54!
Dayron Robles needs a 7.38 in the 60H to just tie the record!
Greg Rutherford needs to LJ 27-8.25 for a tie!
Ryan Whiting has an Ancient One to go after--Brian Oldfield's SP mark of 72-6.50 from 1975!!
And Renaud Lavillenie, despite breaking his WR in 2014, still lays in the shadow of Sergey Bubka, as he'd need to PV 20-2 to tie Bubka's mark from 1993!
SAFP (aka Shelly Ann Fraser-Pryce) can target the 60 mark of her countrywoman VCB (7.01) or the much easier 200 (22.70).
Natasha Hastings has a 51.25 400 as her goal!
Alysia Montano has 3 marks in her sights--the 600 (1:26.42), 800 (1:57.48), and the 1000 (2:32.21), the latter of which would be an American Record by almost 2 full seconds!
Jenny Simpson potentially has 5 Age records in view--1500 & 1 Mile (4:00.72 & 4:24.98), 3000 & 2 Miles (8:31.73 & 9:27.05), and the 5000 time of 14:48.21.
I know that 5K mark would be a HUGE PR for her, but Simpson DOES have sub-15:00 abilities.
Look what Rowbury ran OUTdoors last summer over 5K!!
IF she races INdoors, Sally Pearson has a relatively easy 60H mark of 7.80 to shoot for!
Kamila Licwinko would have to really HIGH Jump (sic!) to get this Age record of 6-9.75!
Brittney Reese has Heike Drechsler's 1994 LJ of 23-7.25 to aim at!
And Nikoleta Kiriakopoulou would need to continue her cycle of MASSIVE improvement in the PV to challenge Isi's 16-5.25, dating from the London Olympics year!

Age 28
The sampling from this Age is pretty thin, but here's what I have!
Muriel Ahoure has a FAST 6.97 in the 60 to aim at!
Tiffany Porter has the 60H mark of 7.63 in her sights!
Good luck with that!!
But Yarisley Silva has one of Isinbayeva's easier (?) Age records to go after, her 15-11 from 2011.
James Dasaolu has a 60 mark of 6.46 to dream about!
Ashton Eaton will target the Heptathlon mark of 6418.

Age 27
Only one man in this Age section, but David Rudisha could get 3 Age records!
He'll go after the 600 (1:16.08), 800, (1:44.91), and the 1000 (2:15.50).
A woman with 3 targets is Blessing Okagbare, who has SAFP's 6.98 from 2014, a 200 of 22.50, and a LJ of 23-0.75 to shoot for.
Fran McCorory has the 400 mark of 50.64 to aim at!
Eunice Sum and Melissa Bishop could vie for 3 records each--the 600 (1:23.44--which is also the World Record!!), the 800 (1:57.23), and the 1000 (2:33.93).
Queen Harrison might be wanting Lolo Jones's American Record of 7.72 in the 60H.
Besides Okagbare (See above!), Shara Proctor will also be chasing the LJ mark of 23-0.75!
Two women could be targeting the Pentathlon mark of 4851.
They are Yana Maksimova and Brianne Theisen-Eaton!
Maksimova's 27th birthday is January 9th, while BTE's falls on December 18th!

Age 26
Alina Talay is one of the "new" talents in the 60H, but Susanna Kallur's 7.68 from 2008 will be a tough task!
Gwen Berry and Jeneva Stevens will go after one of Amber Campbell's 9 Age records in the WT, her 77-8.25 from 2008!  (See Age 34 for more on Campbell!)
Age Records ranging from the 600 to the 1 Mile are targets of 4 runners.
Adam Kszczot and Erik Sowinski will chase the 600 mark of 1:16.5.
Kszczot has the talent, but Wilson Kipketer's World Record 800 of 1:42.67 will be TOUGH!!
Kszczot and Matthew Centrowitz will go after the 1000 mark of 2:17.01.
The 1500 and Mile marks are 3:34.13 and 3:50.92, and will be targeted by Centrowitz and Asbel Kiprop!
That Mile mark is held by Galen Rupp!
Bogdan Bondarenko will go after the HJ mark of 7-10.50.
If anyone can take down Ulf Timmermann's 1989 mark of 73-11.25 in the SP, it would be Joe Kovacs!
Damian Warner will have Ashton Eaton's 2014 Hept mark of 6632 as his target!

Age 25
Amel Tuka has times of 1:15.86 (600), 1:44.71 (800), and 2:16.62 (1000) as his goals.
He turns 25 on January 9th.
Casimir Loxsom doesn't turn 25 until March 17th--the day before the WC open in Portland!--but he could also have Tuka's targets as his own!
(But he'd have to make the WC team, and then he'd have just the 800 available!)
Christian Taylor is just a Hop, Step, and a Jump (LOL) away from this Age mark, as it's an "easy" 57-9.75!
Well, easy for Taylor!!
David Storl has a toughie, the SP mark of 73-0.50 by Werner Gunthor from 1987.
Two WT guys will target Kibwe Johnson's 82-3.50 from 2007.
They are JC Lambert and another who share's my sister's birthday, Conor McCullough!
(Thus McCullough will be 24 until January 30th!)
Tori Bowie would have Irina Privalova's 60 & 200 times of 6.93 and 22.16 as her targets.
With Genzebe Dibaba as your possible challenger, you might advise Emma Coburn and Abeba Aregawi to FORGET any Age Record dreams!!
But the 1500 slot for this Age is empty!
If you recall, I said I'd "lost" my INdoor Age 25 record for the 1500.
Sorry to say, I haven't yet found it!
So it's "available"!
As for the Mile, it's 4:18.99, which would be problematical only for Coburn!
The 800 mark is the INdoor WR of 1:55.82, but if anyone has what it takes to get it, that would be Genzebe!
"Baby Baby" (who doesn't turn 25 until February 8th!  See Age 24!)) also might have the 1000 (2:34.68), 3000 & 2 Mile (8:26.99 & 9:06.26, both held by countrywoman Meseret Defar!!), and the 5000, also a Defar record (14:24.37), as her targets!
Which, if ANY, will Genzebe go after??
Sharika Nelvis needs to run 60H in 7.69 just to tie, but that would break the American Record!!
Ivana Spanovic needs to LJ 23-9 to tie the record!

Age 24
As noted above, Genzebe Dibaba will be 24 through February 7th, so her targets here would be 1:58.26 (800), 2:34.30 (1000), 4:04.42 (1500), 4:23.53 (1 Mile), 8:25.27 (3000), 2 Mile (9:10.50), and her own 5000 mark of 14:18.86, which is also the World Record!
But at this age, Almaz Ayana and Mercy Cherono can't be taken for granted by Baby D!!
Especially in the 3000 to 5000 range of events!
Brianna Rollins and Jasmine Stowers have  a 60H time of 7.75 as their goal!
Christabel Nettey has a workable 22-10.75 in the LJ as her goal!
A 7 inch improvement in PV height would be needed by Demi Payne to match Isi's 16-2 from 2007!
Terrence Trammell's 7.42 from 2002 might be on the minds of Pascal Martinot-Legarde and Orlando Ortega!
David Verburg will aim for the 400 mark of 45.05.
Michael Lihrman would need a WT of 80 feet even to match this Age record!
Mutaz Barshim needs a HJ of 7-10.50 to tie this record!

Age 23
Four men have 45.05 as their 400 goal.
They are Vernon Norwood, Kirani James, Deon Lendore, and Wayde Van Niekerk!
Chuk Enekwechi--born on January 28th of 1993, can tie the record here if he throws the Weight out to 83-11.25!!
(About as easy as spelling his name!!  LOL)
Piotr Lisek needs to Pole Vault 19-9 to tie this record!
Marquis Dendy just needs a LJ of 26-7.50 for a tie!
Dendy's TJ target would be a more difficult 58-1.
Boris Berian could get the 800 and 1000 records if he runs 1:44.78 and 2:15.96--both of which would be American Records!!
Berian turns 23 on December 19th!
Caleb Ndiku might want to chase the 3000 (7:31.75), 2 Mile (8:05.12), and 5000 (12:59.04) records!
Four women would need to run the 60 in 6.95, and the 200 in 22.26 just to tie the marks!
They are English Gardner, Elaine Thompson, Jenna Prandini, and Dafne Schippers!
Quite a talented foursome, eh??!!
BTW, Prandini just turned 23--on November 20th!
Kendra Harrison and Danielle Williams will challenge for the 60H mark of 7.75!
Like Demi Payne (See Age 24!), Sandi Morris would need a HUGE improvement in the PV to just match Isinbayeva's 16-1.25 from 2006!
Sifan Hassan has the wheels to go after the 1000 (2:31.23), 1500 (3:57.91), and the Mile (4:20.5) marks!
KJT (aka Katerina Johnson-Thompson) has multiple (sic!) talents, as befits a Heptathlete/Pentathlete!
IF she does the Multi in Portland (or anywhere else!), she'd need to come within 9 points of her 2015 WC winner of 5000 points--meaning a score of 4991.
She turns 23 on January 9th!
The LJ mark of 24-2.25 is out of her (or anybody else's!) range, but she might be able to tie the "weak" Age 23 HJ mark of 6-6.75!

Age 22
Courtney Okolo won't turn 22 until just before the WC begin (March 15th), but she might get the 400 record of 50.21.
Another PV'er needing a MONSTER improvement would be Angelica Bengtsson.
Her target is another Isinbayeva mark--this one being Isi's 16-0.75 from 2005!
The track events from 600 to the 5000 have 3 women capable of getting one or more of them!
Francine Niyonsaba's easiest target is the empty slot for the 600!
But the 800 mark of 1:57.67, and the 1000 record of 2:36.40 are within her capabilities!
Laura Muir is on the rise, so the 1000 mark (See above) is doable for her!
But Genzebe's WR of 3:55.17 might be a tad much for her at this time, even though she ran 3:58+ OUTdoors earlier this year!
However, the Mile mark of 4:23.33 is possible!
Faith Kipyegon DOES have the wheels to go after Dibaba's 1500 record, as well as the Mile mark listed just above.
Add Dibaba's 8:16.60 in the 3000 as a REAL challenge, but possible--even if the odds are against her!
Jan Merrill's 1979 Two Mile time of 9:31.7 is EASY!
(For most anyone!!!)

IMPORTANT NOTE:
While getting ready to say Kipyegon could also get the Age 22 5000 "record" of 14:46.44, I realized that time sounded VERY familiar!!
It turns out that's the exact same time I have in my Record Book for Age 32!!
(See Age 32!!)
So I immediately did a bit of research, and found that Alemitu Bekele's birthdate--according to my TAFWA All-Time World Indoor List book--is September 17, 1977.
If correct, then her Age 32 mark is the correct one, while this one is NOT!!
I apologize for this mix-up, and will now work on finding the proper Age 22 mark for the INdoor 5000!!

Age 22 (continued)
Speaking of the 5000, the mark I have for this age is Chris Derrick's 2013 time of 13:12.00.
Will Ed Cheserek make the attempt?
He turns 22 on February 2nd!
A perhaps better shot might be taken by Isiah Koech, who turns 22 on December 19th.
He also could target the 3000 and 2 Mile times of 7:30.72 and 8:15.49.
Mohammed Aman turns 22 on January 10th, and could shoot for the 800 mark of 1:44.57, and the 1000 mark of 2:17.26.
Liguelin Santos might have the record of 45.05 in the 400 as his goal!
Marvin Bracy, who turns 22 on December 15th, would need a 60 of 6.45 to tie the record!
That PPPP Cuban (aka Pedro or Pablo Pichardo!), needs a TJ of 58-6 to tie this mark!

Age 21
NOTE: Shawn Barber was born May 27th, 1994.  That made him Age 20 for the entire INdoor"season"--meaning generally December through mid-March!
But the Zurich DL Pole Vault was held INside a train station, so should be considered an INdoor event!
Barber Vaulted a National Record for Canada of 19-5.
During the "real" INdoor sesson, back in March, he vaulted 19-4.25 for the Age 20 record!
But his 19-5 from Zurich is the Age 21 INdoor record!!

Times of 6.45 for the 60 and 20.26 for the 200 are needed by Andre De Grasse to tie those records!
A FAST 7.33 in the 60H would be needed by Omar McLeod for a tie!
Jarrion Lawson's LJ target is 27-9.50!
Rudy Winkler's WT target is 78-9.25!
As noted above (Age 22 section!), Courtney Okolo has until March 14th to chase the 400 standard of 49.76.
She has that kind of talent, but that mark is tough!
Shaunae Miller might have a better chance at it!
Miller and Kyra Jefferson could aim for the 200 mark also--it's 22.43!
Jefferson would have a harder time going after the 60 mark of 7.09!
Ajee Wilson has 3 marks to shoot for--the 600 (1:26.22), 800 (1:58.9), and the 1000 (2:35.21).
Jessica Judd might not be yet ready to challenge Wilson for those records!
Judd was born January 7th, 1995.
But Axumawit Embaye can also get that 1000 record, as well as the 1500 and Mile marks of 4:00.13 and 4:25.73!
Nafissatou Thiam has a Pentathlon score of 4727 as her goal!

Age 20
Trayvon Bromell has the best chance to get the 60 & 200 marks of 6.46 and 20.10.
But Trentavis Friday might challenge, especially if Bromell has trouble adjusting to his new Pro status!
Michael Cherry and Steven Gardiner will vie for the 400 record of 45.03.
Cherry doesn't turn 21 until 3 days AFTER the WC ends!
Robert Biwott would need a 600 in 1:15.31, an 800 in 1:44.52, and a 1000 of 2:16.96 to tie those records!
Biwott doesn't turn 20 until January 28th!
Ronald Kwemoi could shoot for the 1500 (3:33.08) and 1 Mile (3:50.81) records.
Dina Asher-Smith might try for the 60 (7.09) and 200 (22.57) records!
Anita Hinriksdottir needs a 1000 in 2:37.89 to tie that mark!
Hinriksdottir doesn;t turn 20 until January 13th!
Sambere Teferi will target the distance events.
Her target marks are 8:33.49 (3000), 9:29.03 (2 Mile), and 14:35.46 (the 5000).
Keturah Orji's best shot at a record would be in the LJ, where the slot is empty.
But she'd need a PR of 46.10.25 to tie the TJ record!
Kendell Williams & Dior Hall will battle it out over the 60H to get the record of 7.91--or at least tie it!
Hall's birthdate is January 2nd, 1996.

Age 19
If Mary Cain is indeed on the comeback trail---as she SEEMS to be!!--then put her on the list of challengers for EVERY Age 19 mark from the 600 to the 2 Mile!
The shortest distance is her best shot, as the 600 slot is currently empty!
The 800 (2:00.30), 1000 (2:38.93), 1500 (4:03.83), 1 Mile (4:30.3), 3000 (8:37.47), and 2 Mile (9:59.6) are the records!
The 3000 would be the toughest, as it would necessitate a 20+ second PR over her OUTdoor best!
Cain's foes in these quests would be Alexa Efraimson in the 800, 1000, 1500, and 1 Mile, Dawit Seyaum in the 1500 and 1 Mile, and Raevyn Rogers in the 600, 800, and 1000!
Efraimson won't be 19 until February 20th!
There's 4 Pole Vaulters who could challenge for the record of 14-10.25.
They are Desiree Freier, Tori and Lexi Weeks, and the woman who recently broke her own OUTdoor National Record of New Zealand, Eliza McCartney!
The Weeks twins turned 19 on November 20th, while McCartney will turn 19 on December 11th!
There MIGHT be a better mark I don't have, but the SP mark for this age I DO have would be a good target for Raven Saunders.
It's "just" 62-6.25.
The reason I have SOME doubt about that mark is because the records for Ages 18 and 20 are 67-3.50 (18) and 69-3.50 (20)!!
Alfred Kipketer is my sole man on this list.
Born December 28th, 1996, he could target the 800 (1:44.15) and 1000 (2:16.23) records!
Well, actually, there might be TWO men on this list!
Konrad Bukowiecki turns 19 on March 17th, so if he's in the WC, he could target this age's record of 69-0.75 for the Shot Put!

Age 18
Bukowiecki has a MUCH softer target for this Age record, as it's just 63-11.
He has until March 16th to get this one!
Adam Hague and Paulo Benavides have the best chance for the PV record of 18-7.50.
Yomif Kejalcha could get the 3000 (7:32.87), 2 Mile (8:43.24!!--a piece of cake!!), and 5000 (13:02.36) records!
Andrew (or do we call him Drew?) Hunter could also target the 2 Mile!
Grant Fisher could get German Fernandez's mark of 3:55.02.
I can see big improvements for Fisher in 2016--if he remains healthy!
Noah Lyles would need times of 6.51 and 20.40 to tie the 60 and 200 records.
Ewe Swoboda could get the 60 & 200 records of 7.09 and 22.80.
Morgan Lake has a chance at the Pentathlon record of 4635.
But Vashti Cunningham--who turns 18 on January 18th!-- will challenge Lake for the HJ mark of 6-5.50!
Add Kaylin Whitney to the possibles for the 60 and 200 marks, but she doesn't turn 18 until March 9th!

Age 0 to 17
As noted above, Whitney will be 17 through March 8th, so put her down for the records of 7.20 and 23.09 for the 60 and 200.
Candace Hill turns 17 on February 11th, so she has the entire INdoor season to get those same marks!
(BTW, Age Records go to ANYone, whether they're a HS'er who's turned Pro, or have remained an amateur!!)
Sydney McLaughlin has two records as goals, them being the 60H (8.17) and 400 (51.93).
Abdul Sani Brown could target the 60 and 200 records of 6.62 and 20.83.
Chris Taylor and Josephus Lyles will go after the 400 mark of 45.24!
Ja Mari Ward might chase the LJ mark of 26-7.75.
I don't have the record for the TJ, so Ward could get that one too (until I find a better mark!!).
Mondo Duplantis is MEGA-talented, but can he raise his PV best by about 10 inches to get Adam Hague's record of 18-2.50??
Bobby Colantonio would need to throw the International WT to get the record of 65-8.25!

And that's IT, Baby!!
Next INdoor Preview will have my predictions for which World, US, Collegiate, and HS records might fall this season!
Expect those posts (??) sometime this weekend!






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