Thursday, June 10, 2021

NCAA Championships Preview--WOMEN

 Shoot me!
I was so involved this morning that I forgot this Preview.
The Hammer Throw is done, and some other events have begun, but I promise you this Preview is being done BEFORE I check out the results!!
(Except for the HT, but even there, I'll tell you what I WAS going to say before I knew the outcome!)
Here we go, with the same guidelines as for the Men--I'll name some key names, and say whether I think the Meet Record will fall!

Hammer Throw
We all know the Meet AND Collegiate Record fell to Camryn Rogers.
And yes, I would have said she''d win, with a  60% chance for the MR to fall!
The only person I would have been wrong about was Alyssa Wilson, who ended 10th!!

Pole Vault
Lisa Gunnarsson should win, but she's inconsistent, so her competition has a good chance to upset!
Rachel Baxter, Sydney Horn, Lauren Martinez, and Kayla Smith will be Lisa's key challengers!
The MR is safe!

Javelin Throw
Maria Obst has been steady all season, and is picked to win.
Kaylee Carter and Skyler Ciccolini are ones to watch!
No MR here either!

Long Jump
Tara Davis is one of the LOCKS of the meet, and can get the MR in the process!
I'll give her 80% chance for the MR!
But watch for Tyra Gittens, Deborah Acquah, and Jasmine Moore!

Shot Put
This is a toss-up, witth some new names to key on!
Adelaide Aquilla, Khayla Dawson, and Latavia Maines are relatively new to the Collegiate Elite circle.
Also watch for Laulaga Tausaga and Samantha Noennig.
Give the MR a 25% cchance of falling!

10000
The Men's MR was crushed yesterday, so let's knock this one down too, even though it's just 3 years old!
I'll give Mercy Chelangat and company even odds of taking it down.
That "company" includes Grace Forbes, Katy Izzo, Clare O'Brien, Haley Herberg, Abby Nichols, and Poppy Tank!
Then there's the Home Girl--Carmela Baez--who might be inspired by the fans to move with Chelangat!

Heptathlon
The key question here is how high a score Tyra Gittens gets!
I'm giving her a 75% chance of getting the MR--which is also the Collegiate Record!!
Michelle Atherleey will top 6000, but be maybe 500 points behind Gittens!
Lauren Taubert, Kaylee Hinton, Kristina Blazevica, and Erin Marsh are others to watch!

High Jump
Didn't I just mention Tyra Gittens??
Yes, in my LJ and Hept previews!
Well, put this busy woman here also!
Even give her 60% chance for a new MR!
But Rachel Glenn is chosen by T&FN to win, so give her serious attention!
Add Anna Hall, Lillian Lowe, and Abigail O'Donoghue!

Discus Throw
Is Jorinde van Klinken for real?
Was her 230 CR wind-blown?
YES!!
So give her 100% chance of destroying the MR!!
But watch for Lagi Tausauga, Shanice Love, and Alexandra Emilianov!

4X100 Relay
NO on the MR!
But LSU, USC, and Oregon should battle for the Gold!
Watch for North Carolina A&T and Florida!

1500
This could be THE event of the meet--at least depthwise!
The MR of 4:06.19 is given 60% chance of going down--but that's based on whether it turns strategic or not!
There's no super favorite here, so ALL of the following are ones to watch!
Krissy Gear, Amaris Tyynismaa, Sage Hurta, Julia Heymach, Ella Donaghu, , Whittni Orton, and Christina Aragon!

Triple Jump
The MR of Keturah Orji is given 40% chance of going down.
Give Jasmine Moore, Ruth Usoro,  Deborah Acquah, and Ruta Lasmane a shot at the podium!

3000SC
The MR is also the Collegiate Record, so let's give these women a 40% shot at it!
Courtney Wayment looks like the frontrunner here, but it could be a real fight with Joyce Kimeli, Gabe Jennings, Hannah Steelman, Aneta Konieckczyk, Katie Rainsberger, and Charlotte Prouse!

100H
The biggest question here is whether Tonea Marshall takes down the Collegiate Record!
She's just 0.05 seconds away, and she's been improving all season!!
But Ackera Nugent, Jasmine Jones, Grace Stark, and Anna Cockrell could upset if Marshall falters!

100
This is another tight event!
TT (Twanisha Terry) should be the winner, based on experience and power!
But Tamara Clark, Kemba Nelson, Symone Mason, and season shocker Cambrea Sturgis will strongly challenge!!

400
Her last name is pronounced as MO, not MU!!
Athing MU is given 99% chance of taking out the Meet Record, and similar odds of getting her own Collegiate Record!!
Her teammate Cherokee Young could be within a second of her!(That's NOT close!!)
Also watch for Kaelin Roberts, Stacey Ann Williams, Nastassha McDonald, and Talitha Diggs!

800
This event is also wide open!
But let's give it to Aaliyah Miller!
NOT the MR, just the race!
Watch for Laurie Barton, Michaela Meyer, and Gabrielle Wilkinson!

400H
Give Anna Cockrell the edge for the W.
Absolutely ZERO chance to even come close to the MR!
Brittley Humphrey and Anjanette Knight are two others to key on!

200
Some of the same names as in the 100, but give Cambrea Sturgis the edge this time!
Close--maybe VERY close--should be TT Terry, Brianna Bethel, Tamara Clark, Kynnedy Flannel, Tiana Wilson, Ang Annalus, Anavia Battle, and Favour Ofili!

5000
Mercy Chelangat and Whittni Orton have already run fast times this season!
If they repeat, the MR is in mortal danger!
Give them 60% odds of taking it down!
(I know, I'm reckless with distance predictions!  LOL)
Others to watch for are Elly Henes, Joyce Kimeli, Ella Donaghu, Julia Heymach, and Haley Herberg!

4X400 Relay
Ending the meet will be our maybe last chance to see Athing Mu as a Collegiate athlete!
(I'm thinking going Pro will happen before the Trials, but after she runs the anchor leg here!)
Her 48.5 to 49.5 anchor, however, might not be enough to top USC, Arkansas, Alabama, Texas, Floida, UCLA, South Carolina, Duke, or Kentucky!

Enjoy the meet, and again, many apologies for this being so late!
I promise you that, aside from the Hammer Throw, I do NOT know what's happened so far!!

See you in a few days!












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