Wednesday, June 9, 2021

NCAA Championships Preview--MEN

The first OUTdoor NCAA Championships since 2019 are upon us!
The MEN are featured today and Friday, the WOMEN tomorrow and Saturday!
Except for the Multi's--the Decathlon starts today & ends tomorrow--the Heptathlon begins Friday, and ends Saturday!
Following is a brief preview, giving some key names, and the chances the Meet Record might be broken.
I'll list the events by the order of the Finals!
Only one running final today--the 10000!
And here we go!
(My Women's Preview will follow sometime tonight or early tomorrow!)

Hammer Throw
Thomas Mardal has been the most consistant, but Gleb Dudarev is always around 240!  
Watch for Nate Bultman and Israel Oloyede.
ZERO chance for a Meet Record!

Pole Vault
Zach will win!  You choose whether it's McWhorter or Bradford!
Watch for H Al Hizam and Branson Ellis!
The MR of 19-4.75 gets 20% odds of falling!

Javelin Throw
NO Meet Record, but the winner looks to be Sondri Gudmundsson.
DJ Jonsson has a chance!

Long Jump
This should be the first of 2 Golds for JuVaughn Harrison!
The 28-0 MR has 40-60 odds of going!
Corey McLeod, Steffin McCarter, and Rayvon Allen have a slim chance for an upset!

Shot Put
This mightt be the first of 2 Wins also--for Turner Washington!
Matt Katnik, Jordan Geist, and Tripp Piperi have a bit of a shot (Sic!)!
No Meet Record!

10000
Will Wesley Kiptoo take it out in his usual insane manner?
Is Conner Mantz too hot to beat?
Abdi Nur and Edwin Kurgat also should be in the mix!
The 1979 (!!) MR of 28:01.3 CAN fall--unless it's a strategic race!
Even then, it should go--especially with Kiptoo in the race!

Decathlon
The venerable Ashton Eaton's MR is 8457--or 27 points less than Karel Tilga's recent 8484!!
But can he do it again, just weeks later?
I'll give him an 80% chance!
Ayden Owens and Markus Ballinger are good for 8000 points!

High Jump
Harrison should get this one--but the MR of 7-9.75 is far less certain!
Give him 25% odds!
Tejaswin Shankar and Darryl Sullivan might get closer than we think!

Discus Throw
The MR is 215-8, and has a GREAT chance at going down!
The man to do it is Turner Washington!
But 2 guys have recent marks (from the Prelims) which should scare Washington!
They are Francais Prinsloo and Claudio Romero!

4 X 100 Relay
People are already handing the Gold to North Carolina A&T!
But don't take your eyes off LSU, Texas A&M, Houston, Georgia, or Florida State!
Also keep an eye on that damn baton--that's the key!!

1500
Oh man!
This could be the best RACE of the meet!!
You have TWO men who have run SOLO times that are either the Collegiate Record (Yared Nuguse). or come close (Eliud Kipsang).
Then you have the best KICKER in Cole Hocker!
Add Kaleed Suliman and James West, and the race is ON!
The Meet Record of 3:35.30 is 40 years old!!

Triple Jump
This event is pretty much open-ended!
Toss a coin between Cheng Mapaya, O'Brien Wasome, Jordan Scott (a slight favorite!) and Emmanuel Ikemeje!
ZERO chance for a MR!

3000SC
No real favorites here either!
This event has the oldest MR--Henry Rono's 8:12.4 from 1978!
Probably will be here 40 years from now!!
Fitsum Seyoum MIGHT get the nod, but not really!
Watch for Ahmed Jaziri and Ryan Daunton!

110H
Jack Dunning is a virtual lock!
But Daniel Roberts's 13.06 MR is safe!
Eric Edwards, Jaylan McConnico, and Damian Thomas will challenge.

100
Another event to challenge for Best of the Meet!
Joseph Fahnbullah, Matthew Boling, Micah Williams, and Terrance Laird could require a photo to see who wins!
Hope the wind is legal.
If it is, Christian Coleman's MR of 9.82 is in danger!
Add JuVaughn Martin and Shaun Maswanganiyi, and you've got yourself a roaring salad!

400
Randolph Ross, Noah Williams, Bryce Deadmon, and Trevor Stewart are considered the favorites.
The MR of 43.61 gets 5% chance of going down!
Watch for Johnnie Blockburger as a possible surprise!
Add Jacory Patterson and Dwight St Hillaire to your watchlist!

800.
The MR should be safe!
Track & Field News picks Isaiah Jewett to win!
But I'm going with Brandon Miller.
He's PR'ed a few times this season, and has been a star since he was a HS Frosh!
Kameron Jones and Festus Lagat are ones to watch!
Devin Dixon SHOULD be a favorite for the podium, but he's been out of the picture for a couple of years!

400H
Why don't "experts" see Sean Burrell as the overwhelming favorite here?
Most say it's his technique--or lack thereof!
Yet he's fast over the flat 400--especially in Relays!
(Rai Benjamin's MR is VERY safe!!)
M Mpoke and Isaiah Levingston are the ones to chase Burrell, and maybe beat him!

200
It would be very easy for me to tell you to "See the 100 Preview above!", and let it go at that!
Because it's very likely we'll see the front line being Laird, Boling, Fahnbullah, and Maswanyaniyi again!
Add Lance Lang to the mix!
Who will come off the curve in front--and can "he" stay there??
Give the 19.73 MR even odds of falling!
And watch the wind gauge!

5000
Strategic vs Time Trial--which will it be?
Cooper Teare and Duck teammate Cole Hocker CAN get the MR of 13:18.36!!
And even in that strategic race, it could still happen!
They are that good!
If they won't lead, look for the "rabbit" to be Wesley Kiptoo!
Pat Dever, Luis Grijalva, and maybe Casey Clinger are ones to keep half an eye on!!

4 X 400 Relay
As it SHOULD, the meet (for the Men!) could end with a Meet AND Collegiate Record!!
(They're the same!)
North Carolina A&T came within 0.21 seconds of tying the CR recently!
The Usual Suspects--LSU, USC, Texas A&M, Texas, and Kenticky could challenge--for the lower rungs of the podium!

As noted at the onset, my Women's Preview will be posted before their meet starts tomorrow!
Enjoy the meet, and see you soon!





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