Thursday, June 25, 2015

USATF Preview (Seniors & Juniors): Men

It's going to be HOT in Eugene the next few days.
And I'm not talking just about the expected 90+ temperatures!

NOP's Chief "I;m innocent, HE's not!" technician, Alberto Salazar finally released his gossip-ridden Manifesto yesterday, not only calling THE most honest woman in our sport  (Kara Goucher)a LIAR, but by doing that (and so much MORE filthy shit!), he despoiled MY 71st Birthday celebration.!
Unforgivable!

But I'm here to Preview the "dual" meet, as both the Seniors and the Juniors will go at it over the next 4 days.
I'll tell you which MEET Records might be broken.
I'll list the favorites in each event, even heat by heat, flight by flight.
I'll list the Meet Records.
And I'll tell you who's NOT in Eugene, and what it might mean.

First, which MEET Records might be broken?

Men
Most probable are the 100 (9.84), 3000SC (8:17.27), SP (72-10.75).

Next in line, but far less likely, are the 800 (1:43.27), 1500 (3:34.32), HJ (7-9.25), TJ (58-4.50).

Might as well forget the 200 (19.62), 400 (43.66), 5000 (13:12.76), 10000 (27:34.4), 110H (12.93), 400H (47.03), LJ (28-10.25), PV (19-9), DT (233-9), JT (299-6), HT (270-8), Dec (8844W).

Now, let's look at each Heat, each Flight, and see who might finish highest (in the Finals), and who might MAKE each Final!
The numbers in parentheses on the left connote the Heat or Flight number.

100 (Top 3 in each Heat, plus next 4 fastest)
(1) Marvin Bracy, Isaiah Young, Clay Vaughn, Trell Kimmons
(2) Mike Rodgers, Walter Dix, Bryce Robinson
(3) Tyson Gay, Mookie Salaam, Jarrion Lawson
(4) Trayvon Bromell, Ryan Bailey

200 (Top 2, plus 6 fastest)
(1) Gay, Ameer Webb, Joe Morris, Aldrich Bailey
(2) Justin Gatlin, Dix, I Young, Aaron Ernest, R Bailey
(3) Wallace Spearmon, B Robinson
(4) Bromell, Curtis Mitchell
(5) Dedric Dukes, Harry Adams, Kendell Williams

400 (same as 200)
(1) David Verburg, Tony McQuay, Mike Cherry
(2) LaShawn Merritt, Mike Berry, Bryshom Nellum
(3) Gil Roberts, Kind Butler
(4) Vernon Norwood, A Bailey, Brycen Spratling, , Manteo Mitchell
(5) Najee Glass, James Harris, Jeremy Wariner, Angelo Taylor

800 (Top 3, plus 4 fastest)
(1) Duane Solomon, Casimir Loxsom, Mark Wieczorek, Brandon Lasater
(2) Boris Berian, Brandon Johnson, Eric Sowinski, Rich Jones, Harun Abda
(3) Charles Jock, Nick Symmonds, Mike Rutt
(4) Brannon Kidder, Ryan Martin

1500 (Top 3, plus 3 fastest)
(1) Will Leer, Kyle Merber, Jordan McNamara, Andy Wheating, Christian Soratos
(2) Matt Centowitz, Ben Blankenship, Chris Noelle, Robby Andrews
(3) Leo Manzano, Dave Torrence, Mac Fleet, Pat Casey, Robby Creese

5000 (Final)
Lopez Lomong, Galen Rupp, Bernard Lagat, Ben True, David Torrence
Chris Derrick, Garrett Heath, Eric Jenkins, Ryan Hill, Hassan Mead
Riley Masters, Diego Estrada, Ben Bruce, AJ Acosta, Paul Chelimo

10000 (Final)
True, Rupp, Derrick
Aaron Braun, Bobby Curtis, Mead, Shadrack Kipchirchir, Ryan Vail, Brian Shrader

3000SC(Top 4, plus 6 fastest)
(1) Evan Jager, Bruce, Craig Forys, Tabor Stevens, Stan Kebenai
(2) Dan Huling, Cory Leslie, Don Cabral, Andy Bayer

110H (Top 3, plus 4 fastest)
(1) Spencer Adams, Aries Merritt
(2) Aleec Harris, Jeff Porter
(3) Jason Richardson, David Oliver, Kevin Craddock
(4) Ronnie Ash, Omar Osaghae, Ron Brookins, Jarrett Eaton

400H ((Same as 110H)
(1) Michael Tinsley
(2) Mike Stigler, Jeshua Anderson, Justin Gaymon
(3) Bershawn Jackson, Kerron Clement
(4) Eric Futch, Johnny Dutch

HJ
Eric Kynard, Jesse Williams, Dusty Jonas
Bryan McBride, JaCorian Duffield, Nick Ross, James Harris

LJ (Top 8 to final)
(1) Marquis Goodwin
(2) Marquis Dendy, Christian Taylor, J Lawson, Ashton Eaton, Jeff Henderson

TJ (Same as LJ)
(1) Jeremiah Green
(2) Dendy, Taylor, Chris Carter, Omar Craddock, Chris Benard

PV
Brad Walker, Jake Blankenship, Sam Kendricks, Andrew Irwin
Mark Hollis, Jack Whitt, Jordan Scott

SP
(1) NO ONE!
(2) Joe Kovacs, Reese Hoffa, Christian Cantwell, Ryan Whiting, Jordan Clarke, Kurt Roberts, Jonathan Jones, Darrell Hill, Cory Martin

DT
(1) Ryan Crouser, Casey Malone, Hayden Reed
(2) Rod Brown, Andy Evans, Mason Finley, Russ Winger

JT
(1) NO ONE!
(2) Tim Glover, Sean Furey, Cy Hostetler, Sam Crouser, Riley Dolezal, Sam Humphreys

HT
(1) Rudy Winkler
(2) AG Kruger, Kibwe Johnson, Conor McCullough, Mike Lihrman, Chuk Enekwechi, Jake Freeman, Matthias Tayala

Dec
Trey Hardee, Jeremy Taiwo, Curtis Beach, Garrett Scantling, Dakotah Keys

20000 Walk
John Nunn, Pat Stroupe

That's the Senior meet.
Now we'll take a much briefer look at the Men's side of the Junior USATF.

MEET Records, and their chances of being broken.

Most probable are the 1500 (3:42.8), 3000SC (8:48.2), 5000 (13:55.7), 800 (1:47.45)

Far less likely are the 200 (20.29), PV (18-2).

Practically zero chance of going down are the 100 (10.00), 400 (45.01), 10000 (29:11.2), 110H (13.23), 400H (49.28), HJ (7-5.25), LJ (26-9.75), TJ (55-2.75), Dec (8016)

I didn't even consider the SP, DT, JT, and HT, as I believe they use "Junior" weights.  I only know about (or care about) weights used in US High Schools.

Some of the featured athletes are:

100 Ryan Clark, Noah Lyles
200 Lyles, Clark, Michael Norman
800 Myles Marshall, Donavan Btazier
1500 Andrew Hunter, Blake Haney, Grant Fisher, Matt Maton
5000 Maton, C Geberkidane, Levi Thomet
10000 Geberkidane
3000SC Bailey Roth
110H Grant Holloway, Chad Zallow
400H Ken Solomon
HJ Randall Cunningham
LJ Nate Moore, Holloway, KeAndre Bates
TJ Bates, Moore
PV Paulo Benavides, Deakin Volz
SP Matt Katnik, Willie Morrison
HT Bobby Colantonio, Adam Kelly
Dec Harrison Williams

If Fisher and Maton DO meet, there could be a MAJOR drop in the Meet Record!
And will Maton REALLY double in the 5000?
What can a 3:59.38 Miler run?
The 100 and 200 should be FAST....and competitive!

I'll have the Women's Preview up in 2 or 3 hours!



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