Wednesday, June 10, 2015

2015 OUTdoor NCAA Preview--Women

I'll use the same format for the Women.
See my Men's preview for all the format details.
So, without further ado.....!!

Women

100  (MR 10.78)  (24th A-T Collegiate  11.08)
That 10.78 is an outlier if ever there was one!
Absolutely SAFE!!
(But how I would LOVE to be wrong!!)
That said, Ducks Jenna Prandini and Jasmine Todd are probably the favorites.
I said "probably" because,the Collegiate sprint depth is impressive this year.
Besides Prandini and Morolake Akinosun, both of whom are on my Top 24 list, other speedy women include Cierra White, Ky Westbrook, Cindy Ofili, Aliyah Brown, Ashton Purvis, Dezerea Bryant, and Jennifer Madu.

200 (MR 22.04)  (24th A-T Collegiate  22.48)
Dawn Sowell had quite the meet back in 1989!
So unless Kyra Jefferson has another HUGE PR hidden away somewhere (as when she recently ran 22.26!), I believe the MR will remain Ms Sowell's.
But Jefferson will have to do battle with basically the same slate of women she will in the 100.
Thus, look for Prandini, White, Purvis, Westbrook, Akinosun, Bryant to be close.
Add Kamaria Brown to the mix for good measure!
Prandini, Jefferson, and Bryant are on my list already.

400  (MR 50.10)  (24th A-T Collegiate  50.87)
Few have broken 51 so far this year Collegiately.
One who has was a shocker.
Shakima Wimbley had a great double at her Conference, 22.43 in the 200 and 50.84 in the 400.
With speed like that, she COULD approach the 50 second barrier.
But I believe she'll have to wait a year....or somehow get into a DL race against the Big Girls!
Ashley Spencer, Kendell Baisden, and Taylor Ellis-Watson will give her a good battle.
Baisden, Wimbley, and Spencer are on my list.

800 (MR 1:59.11)  (24th A-T Collegiate  2:01.43)
The MR will remain Suzy's.  (Do you REALLY need her last name??)
But don't be surprised if speedy Raevyn Rogers (She can run 52 for 400!) edges below 2:00.
Probably up to whether she goes for time, or just for the win.
Natoya Goule HAS hit the 1:59's, but I think this is Rogers's year.
Other possible list entries are Sabrina Southerland, Claudia Saunders, Brooke Feldmeier, and Hanna Green.

1500  (MR  4:06.19)  (24th A-T Collegiate  4:10.79)
The talent is there for a FAST time---even to the level of the MR!
But as with most distance races in Championship settings, it's more likely to be tactical---i.e. jog and kick!
So the talents of Shelby Houlihan and Elise Cranny are likely to be kept in the closet in Eugene.
But can they go sub-4:10---even in a tactical race?
Sure.
The talent is there.
Look for Rhianwedd Price, Katrina Coogan, Sara Sutherland, Rosie Clarke, Angel Piccirillo, Natalya Piluisina, and Stephanie Schappert to give chase.
No one in the field is on my list.
If no one makes it here, it will be a sad day indeed!

5000  (MR 15:15.08)  (24th A-T Collegiate  15:30.60)
This, even more than in the 1500, has candidates able to attack the MR with some degree of realistic ambition.
The question is the same as for the Men--WILL they jog the first 4600 meters, or will they RUN a RACE??
If the latter, pick and choose from among Emily Sisson, Jess Tonn, Kate Avery, Dominique Scott, Erin Finn, Rachele Schulist, Shelby Houlihan, Liv Westphal, Bethan Knights, Maddie Meyers, and Emma Bates!
Only Tonn, Avery, and Finn are currently on my list!
ALL of the others CAN join them!!
(But most won't!!)

10000 (MR 32:28.57)  (24th A-T Collegiate  32:32.75.)
And here we go again---same story as in the 5K!
Lots of candidates, but who's gonna RUN??
(Be more folks running for PRESIDENT than running for fast times here!!  LOL)
If I'm wrong, watch for that MR to be slashed to pieces!
(BTW, I saw that race back in 1998!!)
The favorites are probably Dominique Scott and Emma Bates.
But watch also for Molly Seidel, Waverly Neer, Chelsea Blaase, Elvin Kibet, Katy Moen, Laura Nagel, and Alice Wright.
Bates and Scott are on the list.
(Avery is too, but she's not doubling, apparently.)

3000SC  (MR 9:25.54)  (24th A-T Collegiate  9:49.01)
The MR COULD go down!
The operative word is "COULD"!
The talent and potential for a MR (and Collegiate Record!) are there!
You have Leah O'Connor, Courtney Frerichs, Colleen Quigley, Rachel Johnson, and Erin Teschuk---for starters.
One person to watch might be Lipscomb University's Maddie Talbert, who ran 9:50 in her first sub-10 at her Regional.
There are several of the entrants already on my list.
Talbert, among others, could be added!

100H  (MR 12.39)  (24th A-T Collegiate  12.79)
Kendra Harrison, with a 12.50 PR, should be the clear favorite.
But as was proven in the Rome disaster, anything can happen in the sprint hurdles!
If all are left standing at the finish line, watch for Dior Hall, Bridgette Owens, and Morgan Snow to give chase, with the biggest breakthrough to come from Hall!
Another to watch is Oregon's Sasha Wallace, who will have the Hayward crowd propelling her forward!
Only Owens and Harrison are on my list.

400H  (MR 53.21)  (24th A-T Collegiate  55.12)
The MR is VERY safe!
Shamier Little may have 53 second potential, but I strongly doubt she's there yet!
However, her open 400 speed gives her the clear advantage here.
But Kendra Harrison is doing both Hurdles races, so watch for her!
Their PR's are just 0.08 seconds apart!!

HJ  (MR 6-5)  (24th A-T Collegiate  6-2.75)
One of the two favorites--Jeasnnelle Scheper--has a PR equal to the Meet Record!
So if she just matches it, she'll TIE the record!
One inch behind her is Greece National Record holder Leontia Kallenou.
Behind those 2, the field is pretty weak!
They're already on the list.
The Collegiate Record of 6-6.25 might even fall----or the bar will!!  LOL

LJ  (MR 22-9.25)  (24th A-T Collegiate  21-11)
Quenelle Burks has the best mark this year (22-5.25).
But watch for the Ducks Jasmine Todd and Jenna Prandini.
Also watch for Super Frosh Keturah Orji, although she's better in the Triple Jump!
Only Burks is currently on my list.

TJ  (MR  46-7.25)  (24th A-T Collegiate  45-0.25)
As noted in my LJ preview, Keturah Orji is far better in the TJ than in the LJ.
She's just shy of the 46 foot barrier, and could easily get it here.
But Ciarra Brewer should give her hot pursuit!
Both are in the Top 24!
I doubt anyone else will join them!

PV  (MR  14-7.25)  (24th A-T Collegiate  14-5.25)
Take a close look at that MR.
Then kiss it BYE BYE!!
Demi Payne has gone almost a whole foot higher!
And Sandi Morris isn't far behind.
I won't repeat their competitive history.
Just re-read all my posts from this year, INdoors and OUTdoors!
But this COULD be the Ali-Frazier PV Fight of the Century!!
If either of them should have a bad day (and both HAVE had bad days, relatively speaking!), keep your eyes on Megan Clark, Stephanie Richartz, Annie Rhodes, Carolina Carmichael, and Desiree Freier!
This is the Year of the Vault--and the Collegiate Women are right at the forefront!

SP  (MR  62-0.50)  (24th A-T Collegiate  58-6.50)
If this is the best year in Collegiate Women's Pole Vaulting, their collective weight (pun intended!!) in the Shot Put is a clear second!
Just as Morris and Payne have done battle in the PV, so have--though to a lesser extent!--Tori Bliss and Raven Saunders in the SP.
Each have had bad days, but each have had spectacular days too!
Bliss leads Saunders OUTdoors by over 10 inches.
But Saunders has the better PR, her INdoors 61-1.25.
Saunders, if either of them do, probably has the better shot at the MR, as she often improves her PR's by a foot or more!
Jill Rushin, Christina Hillman, Kelsey Card, and Brittany Mann of Oregon will probably make the final 8.

DT  (MR  210-10)  (24th A-T Collegiate  196-7)
Shelbi Vaughan is the clear favorite---not only for the win, but for the MR too.
Kiah Hicks is also on my Top 24 list, but she's about 15 feet behind Vaughan!

JT  (MR  202-10)  (24th A-T Collegiate  183-5)
Irena Sediva has the best mark this season so far, at 192-5.
But not far behind are Hannah Carson, Fawn Miller, and Elizabeth Herrs.
All of the above named are currently listed!
And as noted in the Men's Preview, the JT is unpredictable.
So watch for that UNEXPECTED big throw!

HT  (MR  232-0)  (24th A-T Collegiate  220-6)
Julia Ratcliffe threw 230-7 last year for the Collegiate lead AND the National Record of New Zealand.
She hasn't been as hot this year, thus leveling the playing field a bit!
Enter Brook Pleger, this year's leader at about 228-9.
Deanna Price and Daina Levy are also both on my list.
Kiah Hicks, Jillian Weir, and Kearsten Peoples are others to watch.
Weir is on the list too.

Hept  (MR  6527)  (24th A-T Collegiate  6003)
Here's yet ANOTHER Women's event that is DEEP!!
While Erica Bougard seems to be the consensus favorite going in, you can NOT overlook a long list of wannabe's!
Kendell Williams, Jess Herauf, Alex Gochenour, Lindsay Vollmer, Jena Hemann, Quintunya Chapman, Akela Jones, and Xenia Rahn!!
Seven of the NCAA entrants are now on my list!
But the MR (and CR!) are safe!

4X100R  (MR  42.36)  (24th A-T Collegiate  43.60)
As with the Men's Relays, I'm not familiar with each team's members.
But with all the great sprinters around, I wouldn't be surprised to see a time in the 42's for the winner.
How close they can get to that 42.36 is a very good question---that I have no answers for!
That said, watch for the UO (if they enter a team!), LSU, Florida, Kentucky, Texas, and Texas A&M to do battle.
Kentucky and Florida are on my list with times from 2015.

4X400R  (MR  3:24.21)  (24th A-T Collegiate  3:29.41)
With the Team winner possibly still undecided at this point, this could be an all-out WAR in the final!
USC, Arkansas, Florida State, Kentucky, Clemson, LSU, and Florida are the teams most likely to be there at the end.
Clemson, Ohio State, and USC all have 2015 marks on my list!

And that's a wrap, folks!
Enjoy the meet!
Since there's so much happening this weekend (besides the NCAA meet!!!), I'll be having MULTIPLE results posts---although I won't have any until Saturday (the NCAA's!!).

See you then!

No comments:

Post a Comment