World Junior Championship Meet Record Predictions--Women

NOTE: See my post on the Men for all the usual rules & regs, caveats and criteria!  But just as a quick reminder, I'm listing the MR possibilities in 3 sections, as follows:

A--The MR is almost certain to go, with from 75 to 100% chances.
B--Here, the odds are between 25 and 74%.  Where needed, I'll indicate which end they're closer to!
C--Almost NO chance to fall, with odds from 0 to 24%.

A
100 (11.12)
Sixteen year old Kaylin Whitney nipped the HSR at the USATF Jr's!!  And she just finished her 10th grade year!!  As noted with the men, only wind or injury will keep this record intact!
But Whitney will have a fierce challenger in Brit Dina Asher-Smith!!
Also keep your eye on American Arianna Washington, and the other British girl, Desiree Henry.

200 (22.53)
Whitney ran 22.49 at USATF.
She'll again have Asher-Smith for company.
Let's hope the wind takes a siesta!

400 (50.50)
This one is much closer to the "B" category, probably about 75 to 80% odds of being broken.
Kendall Baisden has a 50.46, but she's run that kind of time just once, and has no one to push her!

800 (2:00.06)
Sahilly Diago of Cuba is on the Diamond League, adult World Championship, and Olympic Games level with her super PR of 1:57.74.
This will be a time trial!
It would be nice to see Iceland's Anita Hinriksdottir break 2:00 also.

1500 (4:04.96)
Dawit Seyaum of Ethiopia has a sub-4:00 PR
(BTW, she turns 18 on the day of the Final, July 27!!)
Her teammate, Gudaf Tsegay, is sub-4:03.
But there's some confusion here (which extends to the 3000!)
Senbere Teferi, who has an 8:41+ PR in the 3000, and was initially listed in that event, is now listed in the 1500 only!
BUT.....the rules are that only TWO athletes per nation are allowed in each event!
So if Teferi runs the 1500 ONLY, what happens to her 1500 teammates??
Will one of THEM transfer to the 3000?
The FINAL Heat Sheets aren't available for this event (or the 3000), so this stands where it is.....CONFUSING!!
That said, Seyaum should easily crush this MR!!
(Assuming she doesn't jog the first 1200!!)
Watch to see if Alexa Efraimson can get Mary Cain's HSR of 4:04.62!!
And what will Elise Cranny do?  She says she thinks she has a 4:08 in her.

3000 (8:46.86)
NOTE: See the 1500 for details on who's running what!!
IF.....Teferi runs this event, Mary Cain will have the race of her life on her hands!!
Cain has never broken 9:04 (Her 9:02 was on an OT, so doesn't count!), and just jogged the Trials.
But I've always believed she has a SUB-8:40 in her!
If Teferi runs, she MIGHT force Cain to take Salazar's leash off and.....RUN!!
And IF all that happens, this could be THE best distance race of the entire meet!!
At worst, Cain should go sub-9:00 for the first time!
Very interesting trivia fact:  Lilian Renzeruk of Kenya was born on the SAME month and day as Cain, May 3rd, although she's a year younger than Mary!

5000 (15:08.06)
This record going down is dependent on just one thing...whether sub-15:00 girls Alemetu Haroye of Ethiopia and Agnes Tirop of Kenya decide to RUN.....or JOG!!
The other Ethiopian, Getytom Gebreslase, also could go sub-15:00.

BTW, this meet once held a 10000 for Women.
In 1992, Wang Junxia of China ran 32:29.90 for the MR.
If you recall, Ms Junxia ran slightly faster one year later, her 29:31.78 still standing as the WORLD Record!!!
I really wish the IAAF weren't so sexist, and would add a 10000 for Women.....again!!

3000SC  (9:31.35)
Ruth Jebet of Burundi recently broke the Age 17 record with her 9:27.90.
If she runs anywhere close to that, this record is GONE!

100H (12.96)
The two Americans, Kendell Williams and Dior Hall, will challenge this record.
Barring disaster (or heavy winds), this MR should fall!
And Hall has a VERY decent chance at the HSR of Candy Young, set back in 1979!!

400H  (54.70)
This one I ALMOST put in the "B" category.
Shamier Little has a PR of 55.07, but has the potential to go faster.
But, IMHO, that 14 year old (!!!), Sydney McLaughlin, who wasn't allowed to run here because she's "too young", probably would have had a better shot at the MR than Little does!
AND the HSR!!!
Alas, McLaughlin isn't here, another example of the sexism AND ageism of the IAAF!!

LJ (22-4.50)
Another I almost placed in the "B" category.
Florentine Marinciu of Romania and Esa Brume of Nigeria should vie for this one.  Both are a few inches shy of the record.

PV (14-9)
This one ALSO falls nearer to the "B"'s.
But Alena Lutkovskaya of Ukraine is at 14-5 level, and might have her Day of Days.
Another to watch is Eliza McCartney of New Zealand, who is just 17.
Desiree Freier, America's best hope, will turn 18 on July 24th!
Can she get her own HSR??

JT (206-8)
This one's nearer the "B"'s too, but Sofi Flinck of Sweden is a Rising Star, so this record could go.

10000 Walk (43:24.72)
Anesha Drahotova of the Czech Republic turns 19 on July 27th, and has a good chance to get this MR.

4X100 and 4X400 Relays (43.40 and 3:27.60)
The United States (with Whitney and Washington leading the way) could get the shorter event MR.
The 4X400 is a bit more in doubt, with just Baisden having the ability to bring this record down.
Jamaica's and Great Britain's teams will challenge the US, as will Nigeria in the longer race.

(And that was just the "A" category!!  As you can see, the Women's MR's could see a wholesale revision!!)

B
HJ (6-6.75)
No one's close, but Iryna Gereshchenko of Ukraine, and British Heptathlete Morgan Lake should go highest
Lake is just 17.

HT (231-8)
Al'ona Shamotina of Ukraine and Reha Gyuratz of Hungary will battle it out.
Both are 18.

Heptathlon (6470)
This really belongs in the "C" category, so place this MUCH nearer the 25% level than the 74% mark!!
Yorgelis Rodriguez of Cuba has a PR of 6231, over 200 points below the MR.
But with PR's in 3 or 4 of the 7 events, she could challenge it!
Morgan Lake has that MAJOR star quality, and could shock here.
Another to watch is Nadine Visser of the Netherlands.
I REALLY wish Kendell Williams had decided to go in this event than in just the 100H!!

C
TJ (47-11.75)
Ana Peletier will probably win the meet, but is nowhere near the MR.
Watch to see if Keturah Orji gets the HSR (AND the 45 foot mark!) she's been chasing all year!!
This is her LAST chance!!

SP (61-6.75)
Not even close!
Tianguan Guo of China and Emel Dereli of Turkey should vie for the title, but not the MR.
Can Raven Saunders break her own HSR??

Well, folks, there you have it!
Set in stone!
But I'll tell you right now, no matter what happens, this meet should be one of the most exciting of the entire year!!
Enjoy!!!